Spread: Celtics (-10.5)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 5 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $154,225.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

4-market same-game bettor

A high-volume sports bettor with a huge sample size is building a same-game thesis across four related markets, which is more notable than this single losing entry alone.

  • This wallet has made 8,374 resolved bets and is up about $89.6k overall
  • They put $35.6k across 4 markets in the same game, suggesting a clear game script view
  • Market volume is running 126.8x above normal, showing unusually heavy interest before tipoff

$1,629 on Celtics | Wallet win rate: 53%

74% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable 74% win-rate sports trader with over $1.2M in realized P&L is making another multi-market bet in this NBA event, which is worth watching despite the market itself being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up about $1.24M lifetime.
  • They have traded 608 markets across 196 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought Celtics -10.5 at 51¢, a fairly even price that implies meaningful confidence in a blowout.

$5,124 on Celtics | Wallet win rate: 73%

98% win-rate sharp

A proven elite bettor with a 98% win rate and $1.59M profit is taking the Raptors side against the spread, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $1.59M lifetime.
  • They've traded 318 markets across 233 events, so this is a seasoned cross-market operator rather than a one-off whale.
  • They bought Raptors at 50¢, a price that implies an even game against the spread.

$5,628 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 98%

$1.24M sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 74% win rate and $1.24M P&L is taking another sizable position across this game event, making the bet worth tracking despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 1,619 of 2,196 resolved trades and is up $1.24M lifetime.
  • They regularly trade across related markets in the same event, with 608 markets traded across 196 events.
  • Bought Celtics -10.5 at 52¢, a near-even price that suggests they see the spread as better than a coin flip.

$4,928 on Celtics | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable new wallet fires again

A very new wallet with repeated large bets and early profitability is backing Raptors +10.5 at 55¢, making this a fresh conviction signal worth watching despite the limited sample size.

  • This new wallet has already triggered 15 large-bet alerts and is up $3.4k so far
  • It has won 6 of 7 resolved bets, an unusually strong early record for a fresh account
  • The bet came in at 55¢ on Raptors +10.5, suggesting the trader sees the spread as mispriced

$1,471 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 66%

5-wallet linked Raptors pile-in

Five wallets, including linked funders, piled $130.8k into Raptors against the spread at 55¢ in a coordinated burst, creating a strong directional signal despite this being a liquid NBA market.

  • Five wallets bought the same side within minutes, and two share a funder, for a combined $130.8k bet.
  • The biggest wallet alone put down $123.3k at 55¢, showing unusually concentrated conviction on Raptors +10.5.
  • This market saw a 1441x volume spike, and several wallets in the cluster have long profitable histories on Polymarket.

$130,774 on Raptors

98% win-rate bettor

A proven elite sports bettor with a 98% win rate and $1.59M profit is taking Raptors +10.5 at 55¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $1.59M lifetime.
  • They have done this across 316 markets and 232 events, so this is a proven repeatable edge.
  • Buying Raptors at 55¢ means backing them to lose by 10 or fewer points or win outright.

$2,984 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 98%

95% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an exceptional 95% win rate and strong realized edge is backing Raptors +10.5 at 55¢, making this a credible sharp-side signal despite the modest bet size.

  • This bettor wins 18 of 19 resolved trades and is up about $6.2k on roughly $18.9k invested.
  • They bought Raptors +10.5 at 55¢, so they only need Boston to win by 10 or less for this side to cash.
  • The market is reasonably liquid, which suggests this is a deliberate sharp bet rather than noise in a tiny market.

$1,687 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Raptors, $21,216 (76% win rate)
  2. 0xc44f...d49f Raptors, $16,695 (98% win rate)
  3. 0x777d...5143 Raptors, $15,355 (51% win rate)
  4. 0xd4aa...d40c Raptors, $3,380
  5. 0x99a7...87b6 Raptors, $3,068 (95% win rate)
  6. 0x2734...6d9e Raptors, $1,794 (98% win rate)
  7. 0x705d...3438 Raptors, $1,007
  8. 0xb212...c63c Raptors, $976
  9. 0x23f9...3c2d Raptors, $538
  10. 0x37c1...c53a Raptors, $463 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

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Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Celtics (-10.5)

Resolved$154,225 tracked8 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Celtics
100¢
Raptors
0¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 5 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Celtics
47¢
46¢
45¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Celtics (-10.5)

1d ago

$1,629 on Celtics at 51¢

51¢100¢49¢

Spread: Celtics (-10.5)

1d ago

$5,124 on Celtics at 51¢

51¢100¢49¢

Spread: Celtics (-10.5)

1d ago

$5,628 on Raptors at 50¢

Spread: Celtics (-10.5)

1d ago

$4,928 on Celtics at 52¢

52¢100¢48¢

Spread: Celtics (-10.5)

1d ago

$1,471 on Raptors at 55¢

Spread: Celtics (-10.5)

1d ago

$130,774 on Raptors at 55¢

Spread: Celtics (-10.5)

1d ago

$2,984 on Raptors at 55¢

Spread: Celtics (-10.5)

1d ago

$1,687 on Raptors at 55¢

Related Theses

Spread: Celtics (-10.5) | PolySpotter