Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 2 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Celtics" if the Celtics win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $141,843.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
Million-dollar cross-market sharp
Proven profitable sports bettor with a 71% resolved win rate and $1.1M profit is building a cross-market position on the Celtics game despite the trade moving against them so far.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $1.1M lifetime.
- They have $16K across 3 markets in this same game, suggesting a broader thesis.
- They paid 42¢ for Celtics -6.5, while the market now shows about 32¢.
$1,814 on Celtics | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 71% resolved win rate is buying Celtics -6.5, though the bet size is modest in a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $1.1M lifetime.
- They have traded across 63 events and 109 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- Entry at 43¢ implies about a 2.3x payout if the Celtics cover -6.5.
$1,032 on Celtics | Wallet win rate: 71%
4-wallet Celtics cover push
Strong market-wide signal from four wallets pushing $234k toward Celtics plus an 83x pre-event volume spike, though the individual wallet is not a proven winner and traded both sides.
- Four wallets put $234k on Celtics covering the spread in the same window.
- Volume is running 83x above normal before tipoff, suggesting fresh pre-game positioning.
- Celtics can still be copied near 45¢, implying about 2.2x payout if they cover.
$35,791 on Celtics | Wallet win rate: 42%
Profitable bettor on Celtics spread
A high-volume profitable sports wallet is putting nearly $12k on Celtics -6.5 while also positioning across six markets in the same game amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up about $956k lifetime across $29M of Polymarket volume.
- They have $33.8k positioned across 6 markets in the same game, suggesting a broader Celtics-76ers thesis.
- Entry at 52¢ is near even money, with the market seeing a 204x pre-game volume spike.
$11,957 on Celtics | Wallet win rate: 51%
81% bettor backs 76ers spread
A proven sports bettor with an 81% record and extensive cross-market history bought 76ers +6.5 into a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 81% of tracked bets and is up $246K in resolved P&L.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.24M bet across 223 markets.
- The 76ers side saw a 940x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum to the bet.
$2,611 on 76ers | Wallet win rate: 81%
3-wallet spread whale cluster
High-conviction one-sided NBA spread flow: 3 wallets bought $86k of 76ers at 58¢, including two profitable 71% bettors, and the market has already moved to 73¢.
- Three wallets put $86k on the same side, led by a $75k buy at 58¢.
- The market moved from their 58¢ entry to 73¢, suggesting this flow helped reprice the spread.
- Two participating wallets win 71% of resolved bets, with about $1.18M in combined profit.
$85,982 on 76ers
New profitable NBA bettor
A 2-day-old wallet with repeat large-bet flags and early profits is buying 76ers +6.5 at 47¢.
- This 2-day-old bettor is already 2-for-2 and up $7.6k on resolved trades.
- This is their 6th flagged large bet, with $15.6k total flagged across early positions.
- They bought 76ers +6.5 at 47¢, taking the underdog side against a market priced near coin-flip.
$2,656 on 76ers | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — 76ers, $395,650 (52% win rate)
- 0xbddf...c684 — Celtics, $245,000 (95% win rate)
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Celtics, $162,707 (55% win rate)
- 0xc807...c12b — Celtics, $135,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x5e6e...be00 — 76ers, $51,682 (52% win rate)
- 0xd202...8973 — 76ers, $51,343 (43% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — 76ers, $28,776 (81% win rate)
- 0x3a6c...236d — Celtics, $20,500 (58% win rate)
- 0x2b46...684d — Celtics, $15,653 (51% win rate)
- 0x5e30...acbf — 76ers, $14,510 (71% win rate)
