Part of: Chiefs vs. Dolphins
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chiefs" if the Chiefs win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Dolphins". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Dolphins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $356,104.
Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games
Notable Trades
9-wallet cluster with a proven sharp
Nine wallets put $81,233 into Chiefs, including a highly profitable bettor with a 79% win rate, despite recent price weakness.
- Nine wallets bought Chiefs for a combined $81,233, signaling concentrated support for the same side.
- One participant has won 79% of 177 resolved bets and is up $581,262 lifetime.
- The cluster entered at 45¢ while the market had recently drifted lower; several wallets are adding to existing Chiefs positions.
$78,891 on Chiefs
92% winner scaling Dolphins position
A highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate is adding about $91,000 to an existing Dolphins position amid coordinated buying and a sharp volume spike.
- This bettor has won 152 of 166 resolved positions and earned $2.84M in profit.
- They added about $91,000 to an existing Dolphins position as three wallets bought the same outcome for over $107,000 combined.
- Trading volume was 24.6 times its historical average, supporting the coordinated buying signal.
$91,144 on Dolphins | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable whale adding to Chiefs
A highly profitable whale is adding $17.3K to an already large Chiefs position amid a sharp event-volume spike and $45.5K of cross-market activity.
- This wallet is up $832K lifetime and added another $17.3K to a Chiefs position already worth over $172K.
- The wallet has placed $45.5K across three markets tied to this game, while market volume spiked 137.6× its historical average.
- The buys averaged about 45¢ as Chiefs odds sit near 45¢; its historical 46% win rate makes the lifetime profit more compelling than the win rate alone.
$17,284 on Chiefs | Wallet win rate: 46%
Profitable whale leads $206K Dolphins cluster
Four-wallet directional flow totaling $206K, including a highly profitable bettor adding to a large Dolphins position, coincided with a 129.6x volume spike.
- Four wallets aligned on Dolphins for $206K, roughly 86% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
- The largest bettor has a 92% win rate across 13 resolved positions and is up $1.43M; they added to an existing $341K Dolphins position.
- The trades coincided with a 129.6x volume spike, despite the market’s recent price decline.
$107,618 on Dolphins
Profitable whale adding to Chiefs
A highly profitable, heavily funded trader added about $55,000 to an existing Chiefs position during a 36x volume spike and has also positioned across three markets in the game.
- The bettor added about $55,000 to an existing Chiefs position, bringing their investment in this outcome to roughly $179,000.
- Trading activity was 36 times the market’s historical average, and the bettor has made about $704,000 across a large trading history.
- The Chiefs were bought near 48¢, with the market’s current ask at 49¢.
$6,193 on Chiefs | Wallet win rate: 46%
Profitable whale adding to Chiefs
A highly profitable, heavily funded trader added about $55,000 to an existing Chiefs position during a 36x volume spike and has also positioned across three markets in the game.
- The bettor added about $55,000 to an existing Chiefs position, bringing their investment in this outcome to roughly $179,000.
- Trading activity was 36 times the market’s historical average, and the bettor has made about $704,000 across a large trading history.
- The Chiefs were bought near 48¢, with the market’s current ask at 49¢.
$54,974 on Chiefs | Wallet win rate: 46%
Top Holders
- 0xcbc6...ec62 — Dolphins, $575,000 (96% win rate)
- 0x9243...658e — Dolphins, $166,844 (94% win rate)
- 0x7c37...6aeb — Dolphins, $114,455 (95% win rate)
- 0xde7b...5f4b — Dolphins, $50,000 (79% win rate)
- 0x68df...4815 — Dolphins, $32,355 (68% win rate)
- 0xc95e...1288 — Dolphins, $30,000 (92% win rate)
- 0x4078...3922 — Dolphins, $23,013
- 0x032e...2a9e — Dolphins, $14,386 (76% win rate)
- 0xf1ef...8cd6 — Dolphins, $8,000 (61% win rate)
- 0xc4f0...e891 — Dolphins, $7,777 (91% win rate)
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