Part of: Chiefs vs. Dolphins

Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chiefs" if the Chiefs win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Dolphins". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Dolphins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,427.

Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games

Notable Trades

81% winner taking a contrarian Dolphins position

A highly profitable serial trader with an exceptional long-term record placed a sizable Dolphins position across three event markets, though the market has since moved sharply against it.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 2,801 resolved trades and earned $6.5M overall.
  • They put $2,841 on Dolphins at 51¢, with nearly $10,000 positioned across three markets in the event.
  • The market now prices Dolphins at 16%, so the move has gone sharply against this trade.

$2,841 on Dolphins | Wallet win rate: 81%

Whale-sized event positioning, mixed sides

A high-volume trader has deployed $115,577 across seven markets in this event, but opposing bets on this spread make the directional signal less clear.

  • The trader has placed $115,577 across seven markets tied to this event, including activity seen in prior scans.
  • This wallet has a large history and is up $4.76M, but its 55% win rate and 59¢ average winning price do not establish a clear edge.
  • On this spread, the trader bought more Chiefs than Dolphins, so the position is partly hedged rather than a clean directional bet.

$22,136 on Chiefs | Wallet win rate: 55%

Proven bettor with 7,899 resolved trades

A highly profitable bettor with 7,899 resolved positions is backing Chiefs at 56¢, alongside a long-running cross-market track record.

  • This bettor has won 78% of 7,899 resolved trades and is up $1.3M.
  • They are buying Chiefs at 56¢; the alert reports a 22-point edge against implied odds.
  • This wallet has traded across 55 events and 58 markets, with nearly $199K in total trading volume.

$1,450 on Chiefs | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb3cf...0ebd — Dolphins, $2,364 (81% win rate)
  2. 0x9b66...336a — Dolphins, $2,326 (65% win rate)
  3. 0x224f...514a — Dolphins, $1,800 (84% win rate)
  4. 0x5e30...acbf — Dolphins, $1,273 (81% win rate)
  5. 0x0502...4b74 — Dolphins, $1,000
  6. 0x504c...a5b3 — Dolphins, $1,000
  7. 0x5b62...d87f — Dolphins, $1,000 (81% win rate)
  8. 0x5811...0976 — Dolphins, $960 (45% win rate)
  9. 0x32ed...f960 — Dolphins, $916 (67% win rate)
  10. 0x1b0f...b7ae — Dolphins, $437 (92% win rate)

Related Theses

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Colts beat Commanders decisively

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Steelers cover the spread

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Ravens-Cowboys stays close and low-scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)

Chiefs vs. Dolphins$26,427 tracked3 signalsSportsNFL (All)Games
Chiefs
100¢
Dolphins
0¢

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chiefs" if the Chiefs win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Dolphins". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Dolphins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)

2026-09-27 19:48 UTC

$2,841 on Dolphins at 51¢

Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)

2026-09-27 13:28 UTC

$22,136 on Chiefs at 59¢

59¢→100¢↑41¢

Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)

2026-09-27 01:15 UTC

$1,450 on Chiefs at 56¢

56¢→100¢↑44¢

Related Theses