Part of: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs

Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,323.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Serial trader backs Reds amid volume surge

A highly experienced serial trader placed a sizable Reds bet during a 47x volume surge, though the edge is moderate because the market has already moved sharply.

  • A serial trader active across 1,057 events placed a $6,738 bet on Cincinnati to cover.
  • The trade arrived during a 47x surge in market activity, while Reds odds rose 49% over the day.
  • The wallet is up $1.75 million lifetime, but its 62% win rate does not clearly exceed its typical 79¢ winning entry price.

$6,738 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 63%

Serial trader’s contrarian Cubs bet

A high-volume serial trader made a concentrated $7,585 contrarian bet on Chicago in a thin market, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.

  • This wallet committed $7,585 to Chicago at 49¢, representing roughly 75% of the detected 24-hour volume.
  • The bet hit a thin order book and preceded a 38-point move toward Cincinnati, making it a notable contrarian position.
  • The trader has a 56% win rate across 102,194 resolved bets and is up $9.1 million, but this specific call is not yet validated.

$7,585 on Chicago Cubs | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

  1. 0x61f6...e497 Outcome 46847247, $461
  2. 0xb4bf...60f8 Outcome 46847247, $330 (80% win rate)
  3. 0x3654...1b78 Outcome 46847247, $312
  4. 0x92f5...52a2 Outcome 46847247, $266 (75% win rate)
  5. 0x5145...dd71 Outcome 46847247, $167
  6. 0x24ce...da46 Outcome 46847247, $155
  7. 0x5811...0976 Outcome 46847247, $147 (45% win rate)
  8. 0x5f56...348a Outcome 46847247, $50 (47% win rate)
  9. 0x95f5...779f Outcome 46847247, $50
  10. 0x0ad6...eab6 Outcome 46847247, $43

Related Theses

Heidenheim will beat Köln

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Athletics win high-scoring game

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Manchester City beats Chelsea

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Falcons win a long series

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Algeria Austria stays low-scoring

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Brazil and Morocco draw

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Twins win nine-run game

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Tunisia will not beat Japan

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Iran beats Belgium 2-0

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Scotland wins three nil

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Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)

ResolvedCincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs$14,323 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 30 at 7:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

CIN
7
65-72
Final
CHC
5
77-60
CIN +140CHC -150O/U 9.5
Venue
Wrigley Field, Chicago
Attendance
36,308

Notable Trades

Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)

11d ago

$6,738 on Cincinnati Reds at 83¢

Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)

11d ago

$7,585 on Chicago Cubs at 49¢

Related Theses

Heidenheim will beat Köln
Wallet_0x2005d trades 3 related markets
Will 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heid…Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05…Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win…
Athletics win high-scoring game
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Athletics vs. Los Angeles Ange…Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics vs. Los Angeles Ange…
Manchester City beats Chelsea
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Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester…Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05…Will Manchester City FC win on…
Falcons win a long series
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Games Total: O/U 4.5Counter-Strike: Team Falcons v…Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Le…
Algeria Austria stays low-scoring
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Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Algeria vs. Austria: Both Team…Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 3.5
Brazil and Morocco draw
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Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in…Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13…Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Twins win nine-run game
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Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Ti…Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Ti…Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)
Tunisia will not beat Japan
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Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21…Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in …
Iran beats Belgium 2-0
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Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O…Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
Scotland wins three nil
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Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Tea…Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5