Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,078.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

6-wallet funded cluster

A 6-wallet funded cluster put $47k behind Baltimore on this spread market, and this wallet bought before a sharp move, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the trader's mediocre standalone hit rate.

  • Six wallets funded by the same source have put $47k on the same side of this market
  • This wallet bought Baltimore at 33¢ before the price moved to 21¢, so the group was betting against strong momentum
  • The market is fairly thin with only $3.8k liquidity, so coordinated money can reflect real conviction

$1,078 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 48%

Top Holders

  1. 0x37c1...c53a Outcome 69786391, $1,599 (67% win rate)
  2. 0x28e8...6080 Outcome 69786391, $1,257
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 69786391, $1,039 (73% win rate)
  4. 0xe401...7b88 Outcome 69786391, $500 (68% win rate)
  5. 0x6bb5...a518 Outcome 69786391, $448 (44% win rate)
  6. 0x1b0f...b7ae Outcome 69786391, $260
  7. 0xf02f...1ed8 Outcome 69786391, $171 (74% win rate)
  8. 0xecdb...c4c7 Outcome 69786391, $165
  9. 0x32ed...f960 Outcome 69786391, $158 (72% win rate)
  10. 0xc53d...4346 Outcome 69786391, $100

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

Resolved$1,078 tracked1 signalSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for April 16 at 6:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

3d ago

$1,078 on Baltimore Orioles at 33¢

Related Theses