Part of: Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

This prediction market tracks whether the Cleveland Guardians will cover the -1.5 run line against the Boston Red Sox in their MLB matchup on May 30, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET. It resolves to Cleveland Guardians if they win by 2 or more runs; otherwise it resolves to Boston Red Sox, including if the game ends in a tie. PolySpotter is tracking $5,000 in smart money across 1 signal, including a recent alert showing 97% winner buying on the run line.

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for May 30 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,000.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

97% winner buying run line

A highly profitable 97% win-rate sports bettor is buying Cleveland -1.5 with a $5,000 position on a thin market, supported by serial cross-market success and linked-wallet activity.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $1.52M lifetime.
  • They bought $5,000 of Cleveland -1.5, about 3x this market’s 24h volume.
  • This wallet has traded 273 events with a 97% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.

$5,000 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbd14...d62a Cleveland Guardians, $13,672 (97% win rate)
  2. 0x9703...69c2 Boston Red Sox, $3,136
  3. 0x5268...135d Boston Red Sox, $2,875 (53% win rate)
  4. 0x84cf...2f63 Boston Red Sox, $2,113 (50% win rate)
  5. 0x21f3...35e3 Boston Red Sox, $1,420 (74% win rate)
  6. 0xadfb...c2ef Boston Red Sox, $1,000
  7. 0x0d2d...7ff5 Boston Red Sox, $813
  8. 0xdb83...1e50 Boston Red Sox, $682 (68% win rate)
  9. 0xc235...99f8 Boston Red Sox, $620 (59% win rate)
  10. 0xa697...59d5 Boston Red Sox, $300

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Shandong Taishan will win

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Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

48mBoston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians$5,000 tracked1 signalSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Cleveland Guardians
36¢
Boston Red Sox
65¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for May 30 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

BOS
23-33
CLE
34-25
BOS +108CLE -131O/U 6.5Polymarket: 36¢
Price History — “Boston Red Sox
67¢
64¢
61¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

10h ago

$5,000 on Cleveland Guardians at 37¢

37¢36¢1¢

Related Theses