Part of: Panama vs. Croatia - More Markets

Spread: Croatia (-2.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $52,457.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet with a long cross-market track record is buying Croatia -2.5 at 23¢ despite the trade being modest relative to market liquidity.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 1,325 resolved bets and is up $764K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $4.1M deployed across 481 events.
  • Entry at 23¢ implies they see Croatia covering by 3+ as a high-upside spot.

$1,150 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 75%

94% winner leads cluster

A highly profitable 94% lifetime bettor led a $51k same-side Croatia spread cluster, with major cross-market positioning and a pre-event volume surge.

  • The lead bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $7.1M lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought $51k of Croatia -2.5, led by a $45k buy from the sharp wallet.
  • This market saw a 108x pre-event volume spike, suggesting unusual conviction before kickoff.

$51,307 on Croatia

Top Holders

  1. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 19614042, $183,966 (94% win rate)
  2. 0xdd88...dadb Outcome 19614042, $68,303 (75% win rate)
  3. 0xbe1d...3d76 Outcome 19614042, $20,278 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 19614042, $11,067 (71% win rate)
  5. 0xd146...9bf0 Outcome 19614042, $3,000 (40% win rate)
  6. 0x8d06...f79d Outcome 19614042, $2,200 (87% win rate)
  7. 0xd053...3c01 Outcome 19614042, $2,000 (47% win rate)
  8. 0xcf8a...2d3c Outcome 19614042, $1,800 (53% win rate)
  9. 0x8f66...849b Outcome 19614042, $1,683
  10. 0xaa4c...7bfd Outcome 19614042, $1,623 (71% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay

Covers 5 related markets

Brazil routs Scotland in shootout

Covers 5 related markets

France routs Norway with goals

Covers 4 related markets

Argentina wins big, both score

Covers 5 related markets

Bilibili wins after dropping opener

Covers 5 related markets

Vitality sweeps MOUZ

Covers 3 related markets

LYON beats Team Liquid

Covers 3 related markets

Norway England turns into shootout

Covers 4 related markets

T1 sweeps Karmine Corp

Covers 4 related markets

Colombia wins big, Congo scores

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Croatia (-2.5)

ResolvedPanama vs. Croatia - More Markets$52,457 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 23 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Croatia" if Croatia win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Panama". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: Croatia (-2.5)

61d ago

$1,150 on Croatia at 23¢

Spread: Croatia (-2.5)

61d ago

$51,307 on Croatia at 25¢

Related Theses

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/…Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
France routs Norway with goals
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Norway vs. France: France O/U …Spread: France (-1.5)Norway vs. France: France O/U …
Argentina wins big, both score
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U …Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…
Bilibili wins after dropping opener
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…
Vitality sweeps MOUZ
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…
LYON beats Team Liquid
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5)…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…
Norway England turns into shootout
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U…Norway vs. England: Norway O/U…Norway vs. England: Both Teams…
T1 sweeps Karmine Corp
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Games Total: O/U 3.5LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) …LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…
Colombia wins big, Congo scores
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombi…Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Cong…