Part of: Australia vs. Egypt - More Markets

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $52,243.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Seasoned profitable bettor

Experienced, profitable cross-market bettor bought Egypt -1.5 into a major volume spike and strong upward price move, though the edge is moderate rather than exceptional.

  • This bettor has 1,526 resolved bets, wins 59%, and is up about $105k lifetime.
  • They bought $10.4k of Egypt -1.5 at 27¢ as the market moved up 12 points today.
  • Volume is running 17x above normal, suggesting broader momentum behind the same side.

$10,389 on Egypt | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable cross-market specialist

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Australia, with supporting event-wide positioning and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 64% of 2,585 resolved markets and is up $2.68M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 213 events, with $15.9K positioned in this event.
  • Market volume is running 51x above its historical pace, suggesting broader attention before the match.

$1,335 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 65%

94% win-rate sharp

Sharp wallet with a 94% resolved win rate and strong profits is buying Egypt -1.5 at 18¢ despite the market pricing it as a long shot.

  • This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved positions and is up $76k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 26 events with the same 94% hit rate.
  • Entry at 18¢ implies they see Egypt -1.5 as a mispriced long shot.

$4,000 on Egypt | Wallet win rate: 94%

Elite 88% sports sharp

A highly profitable sharp sports bettor with an 88% long-term win rate bought Australia at 83¢ despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 1,093 events with an 88% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Buying Australia at 83¢ means they are backing Egypt not to win by 2+ goals.

$3,143 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 88%

89% sharp sports bettor

A highly profitable sharp sports wallet with an 89% win rate is buying Egypt -1.5 amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $761k lifetime.
  • They have traded 88 markets across 57 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 17¢ implies a long-shot spread position with roughly 5.9x payout if Egypt win by 2+ goals.

$1,163 on Egypt | Wallet win rate: 89%

Whale swamps thin market

A historically unprofitable but very large wallet put $32k on Australia in a thin spread market, driving a major pre-event volume spike and matching broader cross-market positioning on the same game.

  • A single whale bought $32k of Australia, about 26x this market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The same wallet has $45k positioned across 4 markets on this game, suggesting a broader event-level view.
  • This is a conviction flow signal rather than a proven sharp bettor; the wallet is down lifetime despite heavy activity.

$32,214 on Australia | Wallet win rate: 54%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa8e0...ad50 Outcome 36640348, $80,000 (61% win rate)
  2. 0x59f4...c1f1 Outcome 36640348, $44,824 (52% win rate)
  3. 0xb225...3d54 Outcome 36640348, $40,000 (89% win rate)
  4. 0x5c3a...020b Outcome 36640348, $38,731 (60% win rate)
  5. 0xf031...c80c Outcome 36640348, $27,579 (90% win rate)
  6. 0x2aaf...b21a Outcome 36640348, $25,784 (94% win rate)
  7. 0x51f4...4bc8 Outcome 36640348, $13,310 (61% win rate)
  8. 0xdd5e...9040 Outcome 36640348, $10,647 (79% win rate)
  9. 0x95f5...779f Outcome 36640348, $10,151
  10. 0x67b6...00bc Outcome 36640348, $8,000 (45% win rate)

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Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

ResolvedAustralia vs. Egypt - More Markets$52,243 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 3 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Egypt" if Egypt win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Australia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

15d ago

$10,389 on Egypt at 27¢

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

15d ago

$1,335 on Australia at 83¢

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

15d ago

$4,000 on Egypt at 18¢

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

15d ago

$3,143 on Australia at 83¢

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

15d ago

$1,163 on Egypt at 17¢

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

16d ago

$32,214 on Australia at 84¢

Related Theses