Part of: New Zealand vs. Egypt - More Markets

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

16 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,998,129.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Sharp underdog cluster

High-score, high-conviction New Zealand-side flow includes multiple profitable serial sports bettors and a proven 86% winner buying the underdog side near current prices after a huge market move.

A bettor who wins 86% of their resolved trades and is up $172k is effectively buying New Zealand around 11¢.
9 wallets put $94k on the New Zealand side, including several profitable sports-heavy accounts.
The market has moved violently toward Egypt, but the sharpest late entries are taking the other side near current odds.

$93,954 on New Zealand

Profitable cluster buying cover

High-value coordinated New Zealand buying is worth surfacing because seven wallets put nearly $95k on the same side, including several profitable high-volume bettors, despite notable opposing Egypt flow.

Seven wallets bought nearly $95k of New Zealand on the spread at 68–71¢.
Several buyers have strong records, including one wallet up $4.2M lifetime and another up $287k.
There is also heavy opposing Egypt flow, so this is a strong but contested market signal.

$94,915 on New Zealand

Sharp cluster backs Egypt spread

Profitable high-volume sports trader is effectively buying Egypt -1.5, backed by one-sided cluster flow and a large pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 69% of 1,319 resolved bets and is up about $739k lifetime.
They put about $29k behind the same thesis, effectively buying Egypt at 33¢ by selling New Zealand.
Broader flow supports the move: 9 wallets bought Egypt the same way, totaling about $117k.

$29,084 on Egypt | Wallet win rate: 70%

89% winner joins Egypt cluster

Sharp 89% winning wallet exited New Zealand exposure, equivalent to backing Egypt, alongside a large 9-wallet same-direction cluster.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.19M lifetime.
They sold New Zealand, which is equivalent to buying Egypt at 33¢.
Nine wallets are moving the same way, totaling about $117k on Egypt.

$2,824 on Egypt | Wallet win rate: 87%

Six-wallet Egypt push

Six wallets bought Egypt -1.5 in a coordinated $21.8k push alongside a 19.6-point price move and heavy same-event positioning.

Six wallets put $21.8k on the same side, with the market moving from about 11¢ to 32¢.
Several bettors have deep sports histories, including wallets up $465k and $170k lifetime.
This is part of broader same-event positioning across 14 related markets and over $400k in flow.

$21,759 on Egypt

Repeat new whale plus cluster

High-conviction New Zealand spread buy from a repeat new whale, reinforced by 7-wallet one-sided flow and a massive pre-event volume spike.

A 19-day-old wallet bought about $547K of New Zealand and has now triggered 25 large-bet alerts totaling $1.74M.
Seven wallets are all betting the same way, with about $599K concentrated on New Zealand.
Market volume spiked nearly 680x versus normal, suggesting a major rush into this side before the game.

$396,593 on New Zealand | Wallet win rate: 50%

Repeat new whale plus cluster

High-conviction New Zealand spread buy from a repeat new whale, reinforced by 7-wallet one-sided flow and a massive pre-event volume spike.

A 19-day-old wallet bought about $547K of New Zealand and has now triggered 25 large-bet alerts totaling $1.74M.
Seven wallets are all betting the same way, with about $599K concentrated on New Zealand.
Market volume spiked nearly 680x versus normal, suggesting a major rush into this side before the game.

$596,593 on New Zealand | Wallet win rate: 50%

9-wallet one-sided surge

High-conviction one-sided flow: a repeat new whale joined 9 wallets buying New Zealand for $752k amid a major pre-event volume spike.

9 wallets are all betting the same way, with $752k total bought on this outcome.
This new wallet has repeatedly made large bets, with 24 prior flags totaling $589k.
Market volume spiked 616x versus its historical average before the match.

$66,000 on New Zealand | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable bettor joins 7-wallet push

Profitable high-volume sports trader joined a large 7-wallet one-sided move into New Zealand, backed by a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has a long sports track record, winning 69% of 1,319 resolved bets and earning $739k profit.
Seven wallets bought the same side, putting $599k behind New Zealand in the scan window.
Market volume spiked about 680x above normal before kickoff, while New Zealand moved from 64¢ to 66¢.

$32,000 on New Zealand | Wallet win rate: 70%

Repeat new whale plus cluster

High-conviction New Zealand spread buy from a repeat new whale, reinforced by 7-wallet one-sided flow and a massive pre-event volume spike.

A 19-day-old wallet bought about $547K of New Zealand and has now triggered 25 large-bet alerts totaling $1.74M.
Seven wallets are all betting the same way, with about $599K concentrated on New Zealand.
Market volume spiked nearly 680x versus normal, suggesting a major rush into this side before the game.

$546,592 on New Zealand | Wallet win rate: 50%

Top Holders

0xd66e...051f — Outcome 89714241, $3,212,411 (50% win rate)
0xcd30...f316 — Outcome 89714241, $100,000 (100% win rate)
0x24c5...c428 — Outcome 89714241, $89,904 (33% win rate)
0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 89714241, $60,000 (97% win rate)
0x839e...0d3c — Outcome 89714241, $10,000 (96% win rate)
0xdd88...dadb — Outcome 89714241, $10,000 (70% win rate)
0xe9a6...627b — Outcome 89714241, $7,353 (100% win rate)
0x0a77...9d74 — Outcome 89714241, $6,258
0xdaef...54e9 — Outcome 89714241, $5,869 (65% win rate)
0xe504...600e — Outcome 89714241, $5,689 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

ResolvedNew Zealand vs. Egypt - More Markets$1,998,129 tracked16 signalsFIFA World CupSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 21 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Egypt" if Egypt win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New Zealand". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Egypt”