Part of: England vs. DR Congo - More Markets
Spread: England (-1.5)
27 smart money signals detected, totaling $624,286.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Seven-wallet England cluster
High-score 7-wallet cluster is buying England -1.5, supported by serial cross-market bettors despite recent price weakness.
- Seven wallets put $25.7k on the same side, all effectively buying England -1.5.
- One participant is a serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate across 111 events.
- The bet is contrarian to the 1-day move, with England down 34 percentage points but this cluster still buying.
$25,691 on England
97% winner in linked cluster
Elite 97% win-rate wallet bought England alongside a large 14-wallet linked cluster despite the market moving sharply against that side.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $611K lifetime.
- 14 wallets are all buying England, totaling $273K on the same side.
- The trade entered at 49¢, implying a strong view that England covers despite current odds near 24¢.
$24,500 on England | Wallet win rate: 97%
New profitable repeat bettor
Very new wallet with early profits and repeat large flagged bets is taking a $5.4k position on DR Congo shortly before kickoff.
- This wallet is less than 1 day old but is already up $6.5k on $19.9k invested.
- It has now made 5 flagged large bets totaling $12.3k, suggesting repeat conviction rather than a one-off punt.
- The bettor bought DR Congo at 52¢, meaning they are backing England not to win by 2 or more.
$5,449 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 100%
88% winner fading favorite
Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 88% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L despite only a modest single bet in a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $18,068 lifetime.
- They bought DR Congo +1.5 at 52¢, fading England to win by 2+ goals.
- Entry at 52¢ implies roughly a 1.9x payout if DR Congo covers.
$2,999 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 88%
New whale with perfect start
A 5-day-old repeat whale with an 8-0 resolved record is making another six-figure bet, buying DR Congo +1.5 at 52¢.
- This new bettor is 8-for-8 on resolved bets and already up $3.6K.
- They have now made 23 flagged large bets totaling $820K in under 5 days.
- This $118K buy backs DR Congo +1.5 at 52¢ in a highly liquid World Cup spread market.
$118,178 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 100%
85% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp wallet with an 85% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought England -1.5 at 50¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $88K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 51 events with $1.6M in tracked volume.
- Entry at 50¢ implies they see England winning by 2+ as better than a coin flip.
$1,500 on England | Wallet win rate: 85%
92% winner buying England spread
Surfaced because this is a proven sharp wallet with a 92% win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying England at even odds.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades, with 173 wins across 189 positions.
- They are up $3,602 on $12,971 invested, suggesting a real edge rather than just lucky favorites.
- Entry at 50¢ implies they see England -1.5 as better than a coin flip.
$1,015 on England | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying DR Congo at even odds on a liquid World Cup spread market.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $26.5K lifetime.
- They have traded across 57 events and 79 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 50¢ gives an even-money copy point on DR Congo covering the +1.5 spread.
$5,000 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 92%
82% serial sports trader
High-composite sports alert from an 82% win-rate serial cross-market trader placing a $25k England -1.5 bet amid a major pre-event volume spike, though lifetime P&L is negative.
- This bettor has won 31 of 38 resolved trades and regularly trades across related sports markets.
- They bought $25k of England -1.5 at 50¢, a clear even-money position on a liquid market.
- Market activity is 120x above its historical baseline, suggesting broader pre-game positioning.
$25,282 on England | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable repeat whale
A repeat large bettor with roughly $606k lifetime profit put $51k on DR Congo +1.5 amid a 43x pre-event volume spike.
- This repeat whale is up about $606k lifetime on $5.5M traded.
- They put $51k on DR Congo +1.5 at 51¢ in three quick fills.
- Market volume is running 43x above normal ahead of the game.
$51,000 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 46%
Top Holders
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 10199993, $445,000 (97% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 10199993, $267,066 (51% win rate)
- 0x5c3a...020b — Outcome 10199993, $200,000 (59% win rate)
- 0x56ac...d77e — Outcome 91092511, $194,795 (49% win rate)
- 0x35e2...9dcb — Outcome 10199993, $99,978 (82% win rate)
- 0x8fbb...9a17 — Outcome 10199993, $63,391 (54% win rate)
- 0x7d2f...ef1a — Outcome 10199993, $45,000 (56% win rate)
- 0x6d77...bcaf — Outcome 10199993, $40,609 (100% win rate)
- 0x20d6...3856 — Outcome 10199993, $30,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x8e68...5478 — Outcome 10199993, $25,000
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