Part of: England vs. Ghana - More Markets

Spread: England (-2.5)

20 smart money signals detected, totaling $509,414.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp linked spread cluster

High-scoring linked-wallet cluster is betting England, led by one profitable wallet with an 81% record and +$798k lifetime P&L despite the market moving sharply against them.

  • One wallet in this group wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $798k lifetime.
  • Three wallets are all taking the same side, totaling $6.9k in England exposure.
  • The sharp wallet effectively bought England at 24¢ while the market is now around 12¢, making this a contrarian live-game position.

$6,922 on England

Coordinated England spread flow

High composite alert driven by coordinated one-sided England spread buying and event-wide volume spikes, despite this specific wallet having a weak long-term P&L record.

  • 10 wallets bought England -2.5 in the same window, totaling about $77K on that side.
  • This wallet added a large $62K event position across England spread and related totals markets.
  • The bettor paid around 37–39¢ for England, while the market is now near 30¢, offering a cheaper entry than the flagged trades.

$53,658 on England | Wallet win rate: 53%

78% winner in Ghana cluster

A highly profitable 78% win-rate sports bettor joined a linked 10-wallet Ghana-buying cluster amid a major volume spike and a fast move from 64¢ to 80¢.

  • This bettor has won 78% of 2,184 resolved trades and is up $104k lifetime.
  • 10 wallets are all buying Ghana the same way, with $156k total and linked funding behind part of the cluster.
  • The entry at 64¢ has already moved to 80¢, matching a 58x pre-event volume spike.

$2,560 on Ghana | Wallet win rate: 78%

Coordinated England spread flow

High composite alert driven by coordinated one-sided England spread buying and event-wide volume spikes, despite this specific wallet having a weak long-term P&L record.

  • 10 wallets bought England -2.5 in the same window, totaling about $77K on that side.
  • This wallet added a large $62K event position across England spread and related totals markets.
  • The bettor paid around 37–39¢ for England, while the market is now near 30¢, offering a cheaper entry than the flagged trades.

$61,724 on England | Wallet win rate: 53%

93% sports sharp with England cluster

A proven 93% winner with heavy cross-market activity bought England alongside 10 same-direction wallets despite the price later falling.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and has deployed over $2M across related event markets.
  • 10 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $77K of one-way England flow.
  • The entry was 38¢ while the market is now 30¢, offering a cheaper follow than the sharp paid.

$7,600 on England | Wallet win rate: 97%

Four-wallet Ghana surge

Despite the tracked wallet's poor history, the alert is worth surfacing because four wallets bought Ghana together for about $195k amid an extreme pre-event volume spike and positive price momentum.

  • Four wallets are all buying Ghana, totaling about $195k on the same side.
  • Trading volume spiked as much as 2,812x normal right before the match.
  • Ghana has moved 10 points over the week, and this entry at 63¢ follows that momentum.

$4,673 on Ghana | Wallet win rate: 41%

98% winner joins England cluster

Elite 98% lifetime winner is buying England alongside one-sided clustered flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $490K lifetime.
  • Eight wallets are all buying England, totaling $31K in same-direction flow.
  • Market volume is surging 71x versus normal, with England already up 10.5 points this week.

$2,475 on England | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp bettor joins England cluster

Sharp 94% winning wallet is buying England alongside an 8-wallet one-sided cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $6.2K lifetime.
  • 8 wallets are all buying England, totaling $31K, with 2 linked by the same funder.
  • Market volume is spiking 71x above normal and England has moved up 10.5 points this week.

$1,560 on England | Wallet win rate: 87%

Elite 88% sports bettor

Elite sports bettor with an 88% long-run win rate and $3.3M profit bought Ghana +2.5 at 61¢, making the wallet itself the key signal.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 981 events with $9.2M in tracked cross-market volume.
  • Buying Ghana at 61¢ implies confidence that England does not win by 3+ goals.

$1,064 on Ghana | Wallet win rate: 88%

91% serial sports bettor

A 91% historical winner and serial cross-market sports bettor bought England amid a major pre-event volume spike and rising price momentum.

  • This bettor has won 20 of 22 resolved positions, beating typical market odds by a wide margin.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 27 events, with the same 91% hit rate in that pattern.
  • England has seen a 229x pre-event volume spike and has moved up 10.5 points over the past week.

$2,000 on England | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8cb4...1057 Outcome 49292650, $769,229 (90% win rate)
  2. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 49292650, $250,000 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x6d77...bcaf Outcome 49292650, $100,000 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x94d7...bef5 Outcome 49292650, $100,000 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 49292650, $82,815 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x55a1...db28 Outcome 49292650, $64,952 (82% win rate)
  7. 0x23d8...0288 Outcome 49292650, $55,000 (86% win rate)
  8. 0xee67...ef38 Outcome 49292650, $40,000 (71% win rate)
  9. 0x5bc3...9ab5 Outcome 49292650, $24,732 (89% win rate)
  10. 0x7a88...41cc Outcome 49292650, $21,111 (63% win rate)

Related Theses

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Japan wins low-scoring match

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Iraq covers low-scoring match

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Croatia wins high-scoring blowout

Covers 3 related markets

Spain routs Saudi Arabia

Covers 4 related markets

Belgium fails to win

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England wins a high-scoring rout

Covers 5 related markets

Bosnia routs Qatar in shootout

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: England (-2.5)

ResolvedEngland vs. Ghana - More Markets$509,414 tracked20 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 23 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "England" if England win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ghana". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Ghana
99¢
79¢
59¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$6,922 on England at 24¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$53,658 on England at 38¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$2,560 on Ghana at 64¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$61,724 on England at 38¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$7,600 on England at 38¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$4,673 on Ghana at 63¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$2,475 on England at 39¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$1,560 on England at 39¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$1,064 on Ghana at 61¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$2,000 on England at 40¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$141,447 on Ghana at 65¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$79,306 on England at 38¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$9,863 on Ghana at 69¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$30,000 on Ghana at 61¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$6,077 on England at 40¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$89,998 on England at 39¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$3,077 on England at 40¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$2,263 on Ghana at 62¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$1,396 on Ghana at 61¢

Spread: England (-2.5)

8d ago

$1,749 on Ghana at 61¢

Related Theses