Part of: England vs. Ghana - More Markets
Spread: England (-2.5)
20 smart money signals detected, totaling $509,414.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp linked spread cluster
High-scoring linked-wallet cluster is betting England, led by one profitable wallet with an 81% record and +$798k lifetime P&L despite the market moving sharply against them.
- One wallet in this group wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $798k lifetime.
- Three wallets are all taking the same side, totaling $6.9k in England exposure.
- The sharp wallet effectively bought England at 24¢ while the market is now around 12¢, making this a contrarian live-game position.
$6,922 on England
Coordinated England spread flow
High composite alert driven by coordinated one-sided England spread buying and event-wide volume spikes, despite this specific wallet having a weak long-term P&L record.
- 10 wallets bought England -2.5 in the same window, totaling about $77K on that side.
- This wallet added a large $62K event position across England spread and related totals markets.
- The bettor paid around 37–39¢ for England, while the market is now near 30¢, offering a cheaper entry than the flagged trades.
$53,658 on England | Wallet win rate: 53%
78% winner in Ghana cluster
A highly profitable 78% win-rate sports bettor joined a linked 10-wallet Ghana-buying cluster amid a major volume spike and a fast move from 64¢ to 80¢.
- This bettor has won 78% of 2,184 resolved trades and is up $104k lifetime.
- 10 wallets are all buying Ghana the same way, with $156k total and linked funding behind part of the cluster.
- The entry at 64¢ has already moved to 80¢, matching a 58x pre-event volume spike.
$2,560 on Ghana | Wallet win rate: 78%
Coordinated England spread flow
High composite alert driven by coordinated one-sided England spread buying and event-wide volume spikes, despite this specific wallet having a weak long-term P&L record.
- 10 wallets bought England -2.5 in the same window, totaling about $77K on that side.
- This wallet added a large $62K event position across England spread and related totals markets.
- The bettor paid around 37–39¢ for England, while the market is now near 30¢, offering a cheaper entry than the flagged trades.
$61,724 on England | Wallet win rate: 53%
93% sports sharp with England cluster
A proven 93% winner with heavy cross-market activity bought England alongside 10 same-direction wallets despite the price later falling.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and has deployed over $2M across related event markets.
- 10 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $77K of one-way England flow.
- The entry was 38¢ while the market is now 30¢, offering a cheaper follow than the sharp paid.
$7,600 on England | Wallet win rate: 97%
Four-wallet Ghana surge
Despite the tracked wallet's poor history, the alert is worth surfacing because four wallets bought Ghana together for about $195k amid an extreme pre-event volume spike and positive price momentum.
- Four wallets are all buying Ghana, totaling about $195k on the same side.
- Trading volume spiked as much as 2,812x normal right before the match.
- Ghana has moved 10 points over the week, and this entry at 63¢ follows that momentum.
$4,673 on Ghana | Wallet win rate: 41%
98% winner joins England cluster
Elite 98% lifetime winner is buying England alongside one-sided clustered flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $490K lifetime.
- Eight wallets are all buying England, totaling $31K in same-direction flow.
- Market volume is surging 71x versus normal, with England already up 10.5 points this week.
$2,475 on England | Wallet win rate: 98%
Sharp bettor joins England cluster
Sharp 94% winning wallet is buying England alongside an 8-wallet one-sided cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $6.2K lifetime.
- 8 wallets are all buying England, totaling $31K, with 2 linked by the same funder.
- Market volume is spiking 71x above normal and England has moved up 10.5 points this week.
$1,560 on England | Wallet win rate: 87%
Elite 88% sports bettor
Elite sports bettor with an 88% long-run win rate and $3.3M profit bought Ghana +2.5 at 61¢, making the wallet itself the key signal.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 981 events with $9.2M in tracked cross-market volume.
- Buying Ghana at 61¢ implies confidence that England does not win by 3+ goals.
$1,064 on Ghana | Wallet win rate: 88%
91% serial sports bettor
A 91% historical winner and serial cross-market sports bettor bought England amid a major pre-event volume spike and rising price momentum.
- This bettor has won 20 of 22 resolved positions, beating typical market odds by a wide margin.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 27 events, with the same 91% hit rate in that pattern.
- England has seen a 229x pre-event volume spike and has moved up 10.5 points over the past week.
$2,000 on England | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x8cb4...1057 — Outcome 49292650, $769,229 (90% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 49292650, $250,000 (94% win rate)
- 0x6d77...bcaf — Outcome 49292650, $100,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x94d7...bef5 — Outcome 49292650, $100,000 (88% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 49292650, $82,815 (71% win rate)
- 0x55a1...db28 — Outcome 49292650, $64,952 (82% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 49292650, $55,000 (86% win rate)
- 0xee67...ef38 — Outcome 49292650, $40,000 (71% win rate)
- 0x5bc3...9ab5 — Outcome 49292650, $24,732 (89% win rate)
- 0x7a88...41cc — Outcome 49292650, $21,111 (63% win rate)
Related Theses
Japan wins low-scoring match
Covers 3 related markets
Iraq covers low-scoring match
Covers 3 related markets
Croatia wins high-scoring blowout
Covers 3 related markets
Spain routs Saudi Arabia
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium fails to win
Covers 3 related markets
England wins a high-scoring rout
Covers 5 related markets
Bosnia routs Qatar in shootout
Covers 3 related markets
