Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)
This Polymarket spread market asks whether FK Bodø/Glimt will beat Aalesunds FK by 3 or more goals in their Norway Eliteserien match on April 18. If Bodø/Glimt win by at least three, the market resolves to Bodø/Glimt; otherwise it resolves to Aalesunds FK. The market is scheduled to resolve after the match is completed using the official final score from eliteserien.no.
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game, scheduled for April 18 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Bodø/Glimt" if FK Bodø/Glimt win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aalesunds FK". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on eliteserien.no. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,306.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Norway Eliteserien
Notable Trades
Sharp 4-wallet dog cluster
Four wallets piled into Aalesunds at 50¢, including two exceptional 94-95% win-rate bettors with large realized profits, making this coordinated flow worth surfacing despite the moderate total size.
- Two bettors in this cluster win 94-95% of their trades and are up about $842k combined.
- Four wallets all bought Aalesunds at 50¢ for $7.3k total, showing coordinated conviction on the underdog spread side.
- The market has moved hard this week (+21.5%) but they still stepped in at even money, implying they see the -2.5 spread as mispriced.
$7,306 on Aalesunds FK
95% win-rate sharp bettor
A bettor with an extraordinary 95% win rate and $709k profit is taking the underdog side at 50¢ in this spread market, making it a strong copy-trade despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved markets and is up about $710k across 429 settled positions
- They bought Aalesunds FK at 50¢, meaning they see the +2.5 goal side as better than a coin flip
- This wallet has traded 528 markets across 430 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
$1,000 on Aalesunds FK | Wallet win rate: 95%
94% win-rate bettor
A bettor with an exceptional 94% win rate and strong edge bought Aalesunds FK at 50¢, making this a sharp single-wallet signal worth surfacing despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $132k across 122 bets
- They bought Aalesunds FK at 50¢, implying they see the spread as mispriced
- The market has moved up 21.5 points this week, but they are still taking the other side at even odds
$1,000 on Aalesunds FK | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x37c1...c53a — FK Bodø/Glimt, $22,183 (67% win rate)
- 0xc95b...f819 — Aalesunds FK, $7,700 (94% win rate)
- 0x0c84...a8ed — Aalesunds FK, $4,761 (95% win rate)
- 0x1a66...ae5e — Aalesunds FK, $4,191 (51% win rate)
- 0xb177...1914 — Aalesunds FK, $2,612 (45% win rate)
- 0x4133...5e70 — Aalesunds FK, $1,451 (50% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Aalesunds FK, $771 (55% win rate)
- 0x1aa2...30cc — FK Bodø/Glimt, $486 (92% win rate)
- 0x198f...c419 — Aalesunds FK, $400 (50% win rate)
- 0xe1f1...3a05 — Aalesunds FK, $292
