Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)

In the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for April 26 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fluminense FC" if Fluminense FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on cbf.com.br. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $133,621.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Brazil Serie A

Notable Trades

92% win-rate bettor

A bettor with a rare 92% win rate and strong edge opened a fresh $3.2k position at 50¢, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite only one trade.

  • This bettor wins 92% of their resolved trades and is up $12.3k overall
  • They bought $3.2k at 50¢, implying they see Fluminense -1.5 as meaningfully underpriced
  • The market is liquid and near even odds, so this looks like a deliberate value bet rather than a random thin-market punt

$3,237 on Fluminense FC | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp 4-wallet soccer cluster

Four wallets piled $63k into Fluminense -1.5 around 50-51¢, led by multiple bettors with exceptional 84-93% win rates and backed by a major pre-match volume spike.

  • Four wallets all bought the same side for $63k, including one $57k bet at 51¢.
  • Two of the wallets win 92-93% of resolved bets, and another is up $1.39M lifetime across 717 bets.
  • The market saw a 56x volume spike before kickoff, suggesting strong coordinated conviction rather than routine flow.

$63,373 on Fluminense FC

Profitable serial sports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with nearly $930k in profit made a $9.7k buy into the underdog side during an extreme pre-event volume spike, which looks like a meaningful conviction bet despite only moderate win rate.

  • This bettor has made nearly $930k in profit across 251 resolved bets and keeps trading related markets at scale
  • bullets

$9,722 on Associação Chapecoense de Futebol | Wallet win rate: 56%

93% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 93% win rate just put $57k into an extremely quiet spread market, swamping recent volume and signaling strong conviction.

  • This bettor wins 93% of their resolved trades and is up $279k across 41 settled positions.
  • They just put $57k into a market that had only $483 of 24-hour volume, showing outsized conviction.
  • They trade heavily across 103 events and have kept the same 93% hit rate at roughly 51¢ average entry prices.

$57,289 on Fluminense FC | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdb22...6478 Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, $162,802 (56% win rate)
  2. 0x38f0...2768 Fluminense FC, $112,670 (93% win rate)
  3. 0x198f...c419 Fluminense FC, $7,728 (46% win rate)
  4. 0xacb2...b989 Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, $7,601 (45% win rate)
  5. 0x1065...6218 Fluminense FC, $6,474 (92% win rate)
  6. 0x7ea5...de7b Fluminense FC, $4,723 (68% win rate)
  7. 0x7236...ea53 Fluminense FC, $4,000 (74% win rate)
  8. 0x2005...75ea Fluminense FC, $3,913 (55% win rate)
  9. 0x27f7...44b0 Fluminense FC, $3,870 (84% win rate)
  10. 0x8e4e...1dfc Fluminense FC, $3,593 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)

Resolved$133,621 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerBrazil Serie A
Fluminense FC
0¢
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
100¢

In the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for April 26 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fluminense FC" if Fluminense FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on cbf.com.br. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
102¢
74¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)

4h ago

$3,237 on Fluminense FC at 50¢

50¢0¢50¢

Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)

4h ago

$63,373 on Fluminense FC at 51¢

51¢0¢51¢

Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)

4h ago

$9,722 on Associação Chapecoense de Futebol at 49¢

49¢100¢51¢

Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)

4h ago

$57,289 on Fluminense FC at 51¢

51¢0¢51¢

Related Theses