Part of: France vs. Morocco - More Markets
Spread: France (-1.5)
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $166,453.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster backing France spread
Large coordinated France-spread buying is worth surfacing because $121k came from 7 wallets, including a highly profitable 94% winner and several wallets adding to already large France positions.
- Seven wallets put $121k on France to cover, with multiple bettors adding to existing France positions.
- One wallet in the flow wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $1.23M lifetime.
- France drew the larger side of the flow, $121k versus about $55k on Morocco, during a 44x pre-event volume spike.
$124,666 on France
Proven sports sharp buying underdog spread
Surface: a proven profitable sports/cross-market bettor with an 84% record and $281k profit is making a fresh $10k buy on France -1.5 at 34¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $281k lifetime.
- They have traded 45 events with $1.35M invested, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- A $10k entry at 34¢ implies they see France -1.5 as meaningfully underpriced.
$10,000 on France | Wallet win rate: 85%
Serial sports sharp: 94% wins
Surface: a highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate is buying France -1.5 at 34¢ ahead of kickoff.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $115k lifetime.
- They have repeated cross-market success across 28 events with the same 94% win rate.
- Entry at 34¢ implies they see France covering by 2+ goals as a strong mispriced shot.
$3,500 on France | Wallet win rate: 94%
One-sided Morocco cluster
Three wallets bought Morocco in a coordinated pre-game flow, supported by broader same-event positioning despite mixed wallet track records.
- Three wallets put $28K on Morocco covering the spread in a tight 14-minute window.
- The same event has seen $86K positioned across 5 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- One wallet in the group is up $73K lifetime, though the cluster’s track records are mixed.
$11,417 on Morocco
Elite sports sharp backs underdog spread
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $3.46M lifetime profit is buying Morocco against the France -1.5 spread.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $3.46M lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,130 events with an 88% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 66¢ implies confidence Morocco can keep this within one goal or win outright.
$6,870 on Morocco | Wallet win rate: 88%
Proven sports sharp buying underdog spread
Surface: a proven profitable sports/cross-market bettor with an 84% record and $281k profit is making a fresh $10k buy on France -1.5 at 34¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $281k lifetime.
- They have traded 45 events with $1.35M invested, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- A $10k entry at 34¢ implies they see France -1.5 as meaningfully underpriced.
$10,000 on France | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0x4be1...aa70 — Outcome 55993382, $298,507 (59% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 55993382, $135,273 (98% win rate)
- 0xabb8...bba3 — Outcome 55993382, $76,647 (49% win rate)
- 0x839e...0d3c — Outcome 55993382, $40,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x1e77...8c33 — Outcome 55993382, $30,000 (80% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 55993382, $22,479 (88% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 55993382, $22,418 (62% win rate)
- 0xec8d...dd71 — Outcome 55993382, $16,400 (74% win rate)
- 0x91b9...3ab4 — Outcome 55993382, $15,468 (89% win rate)
- 0xf559...f462 — Outcome 55993382, $10,000 (93% win rate)
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