Part of: France vs. Morocco - More Markets

Spread: France (-1.5)

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $166,453.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster backing France spread

Large coordinated France-spread buying is worth surfacing because $121k came from 7 wallets, including a highly profitable 94% winner and several wallets adding to already large France positions.

  • Seven wallets put $121k on France to cover, with multiple bettors adding to existing France positions.
  • One wallet in the flow wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $1.23M lifetime.
  • France drew the larger side of the flow, $121k versus about $55k on Morocco, during a 44x pre-event volume spike.

$124,666 on France

Proven sports sharp buying underdog spread

Surface: a proven profitable sports/cross-market bettor with an 84% record and $281k profit is making a fresh $10k buy on France -1.5 at 34¢.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $281k lifetime.
  • They have traded 45 events with $1.35M invested, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • A $10k entry at 34¢ implies they see France -1.5 as meaningfully underpriced.

$10,000 on France | Wallet win rate: 85%

Serial sports sharp: 94% wins

Surface: a highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate is buying France -1.5 at 34¢ ahead of kickoff.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $115k lifetime.
  • They have repeated cross-market success across 28 events with the same 94% win rate.
  • Entry at 34¢ implies they see France covering by 2+ goals as a strong mispriced shot.

$3,500 on France | Wallet win rate: 94%

One-sided Morocco cluster

Three wallets bought Morocco in a coordinated pre-game flow, supported by broader same-event positioning despite mixed wallet track records.

  • Three wallets put $28K on Morocco covering the spread in a tight 14-minute window.
  • The same event has seen $86K positioned across 5 related markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
  • One wallet in the group is up $73K lifetime, though the cluster’s track records are mixed.

$11,417 on Morocco

Elite sports sharp backs underdog spread

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $3.46M lifetime profit is buying Morocco against the France -1.5 spread.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $3.46M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 1,130 events with an 88% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 66¢ implies confidence Morocco can keep this within one goal or win outright.

$6,870 on Morocco | Wallet win rate: 88%

Proven sports sharp buying underdog spread

Surface: a proven profitable sports/cross-market bettor with an 84% record and $281k profit is making a fresh $10k buy on France -1.5 at 34¢.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $281k lifetime.
  • They have traded 45 events with $1.35M invested, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • A $10k entry at 34¢ implies they see France -1.5 as meaningfully underpriced.

$10,000 on France | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4be1...aa70 Outcome 55993382, $298,507 (59% win rate)
  2. 0x7c1e...bab3 Outcome 55993382, $135,273 (98% win rate)
  3. 0xabb8...bba3 Outcome 55993382, $76,647 (49% win rate)
  4. 0x839e...0d3c Outcome 55993382, $40,000 (98% win rate)
  5. 0x1e77...8c33 Outcome 55993382, $30,000 (80% win rate)
  6. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 55993382, $22,479 (88% win rate)
  7. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 55993382, $22,418 (62% win rate)
  8. 0xec8d...dd71 Outcome 55993382, $16,400 (74% win rate)
  9. 0x91b9...3ab4 Outcome 55993382, $15,468 (89% win rate)
  10. 0xf559...f462 Outcome 55993382, $10,000 (93% win rate)

Related Theses

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Timberwolves upset Spurs high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: France (-1.5)

ResolvedFrance vs. Morocco - More Markets$166,453 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 9 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Morocco". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: France (-1.5)

8d ago

$124,666 on France at 36¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

9d ago

$10,000 on France at 34¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

9d ago

$3,500 on France at 34¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

8d ago

$11,417 on Morocco at 66¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

9d ago

$6,870 on Morocco at 66¢

Spread: France (-1.5)

9d ago

$10,000 on France at 34¢

Related Theses