This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $136K lifetime. They have traded across 40 events with the same 94% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge. Entry at 77¢ backs France to win by 2+ goals despite an already liquid market.

This bettor has won 9 of 10 resolved bets, with wins coming at an average entry around 57¢. They bought France -1.5 at 77¢, implying confidence even after the market moved up 6 points this week. The track record is strong, but lifetime profit is roughly flat at -$14 on $7.9K invested.

Part of: France vs. Iraq - More Markets

Spread: France (-1.5)

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $114,737.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

94% sports sharp

Sharp sports bettor with a 94% record and strong cross-market history bought France -1.5 at 77¢.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $136K lifetime.
They have traded across 40 events with the same 94% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 77¢ backs France to win by 2+ goals despite an already liquid market.

$2,661 on France | Wallet win rate: 92%

Four-wallet France fade

Four wallets, including a profitable serial cross-market trader, sold France at 83–85¢ before the price fell to 76¢, making the equivalent copy trade BUY Iraq around 16.5¢.

Four wallets all faded France together, selling at 83–85¢ before France dropped to 76¢.
One bettor has traded 65 events with a 71% win rate and is up about $24.9K lifetime.
The market saw a 35x pre-event volume spike, and the move has already started in their direction.

$7,855 on Iraq

5-wallet Iraq cover flow

Five wallets leaned Iraq in a high-volume France spread market, including a profitable serial cross-market bettor, though much of the flow came from France position exits.

Five wallets put $9.0K on Iraq to cover, mostly by selling France at 83–85¢.
One wallet in the flow has won 71% of 280 resolved bets and is up $24.9K.
Volume is running 30x normal, and Iraq has already moved from 15–22¢ entries to 24¢.

$9,016 on Iraq

Profitable new sports wallet

A 6-day-old wallet with early profits is making a repeat sizeable sports bet on France -1.5, though the market is liquid and the track record is still small.

This 6-day-old bettor is already up $1.4K after winning both resolved bets.
They have now triggered repeat large-bet alerts with $5.2K total flagged across 2 positions.
Buying France at 77¢ suggests confidence despite a liquid market with tight 76–77¢ pricing.

$2,000 on France | Wallet win rate: 100%

90% sports bettor

A small but notable France spread buy from a bettor who has won 9 of 10 resolved bets at much lower average odds, though lifetime profit is basically flat.

This bettor has won 9 of 10 resolved bets, with wins coming at an average entry around 57¢.
They bought France -1.5 at 77¢, implying confidence even after the market moved up 6 points this week.
The track record is strong, but lifetime profit is roughly flat at -$14 on $7.9K invested.

$1,666 on France | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable 86% sports bettor

Surface because this is a proven profitable sports bettor with an 86% record and $143k lifetime profit buying France -1.5, even though the trade size is modest in a liquid market.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up about $143k lifetime.
They bought France at 76¢, matching the current best ask in a tight, liquid market.
Their historical edge is modest but proven across 69 resolved bets.

$1,555 on France | Wallet win rate: 86%

13-hour whale buying France

A 13-hour-old repeat whale with positive early P&L bought $49k of France -1.5 amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This brand-new wallet has already put $198k into flagged bets and is up $18k so far.
They bought $49k of France -1.5, nearly half of this market’s total volume.
Volume spiked more than 4,500x ahead of kickoff, with the bettor entering around 78–80¢.

$49,000 on France | Wallet win rate: 50%

19-hour profitable whale

A 19-hour-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets and early profit is making a fresh $15k France spread buy that nearly matches the market’s full 24h volume.

This new wallet is already up $32.7k while deploying nearly $294k across positions.
It has been flagged 22 times for large bets, suggesting repeated high-conviction sizing rather than a one-off trade.
The $15k buy at 75¢ is about 98% of this market’s 24h volume.

$14,918 on France | Wallet win rate: 85%

19-hour profitable whale

A 19-hour-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets and early profit is making a fresh $15k France spread buy that nearly matches the market’s full 24h volume.

This new wallet is already up $32.7k while deploying nearly $294k across positions.
It has been flagged 22 times for large bets, suggesting repeated high-conviction sizing rather than a one-off trade.
The $15k buy at 75¢ is about 98% of this market’s 24h volume.

$15,000 on France | Wallet win rate: 85%

New whale repeat bettor

A 2-day-old wallet made an $11k France spread buy, its third large flagged position totaling $21k, on a market where the trade was large relative to recent volume.

A brand-new wallet is betting big, with $21k already flagged across 3 positions in under 2 days.
This $11k buy was larger than recent market activity, suggesting strong conviction on France covering -1.5.
Entry at 76¢ implies they see value despite France already trading as the favorite.

$11,065 on France

Top Holders

0x6a32...0086 — Outcome 64016119, $20,000 (81% win rate)
0x4337...8882 — Outcome 64016119, $12,126 (75% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 64016119, $11,655 (55% win rate)
0xdaef...54e9 — Outcome 64016119, $10,000 (66% win rate)
0xa0da...1f80 — Outcome 64016119, $9,999 (100% win rate)
0xdb83...1e50 — Outcome 64016119, $9,113 (68% win rate)
0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 64016119, $8,651 (61% win rate)
0x2061...8ec9 — Outcome 64016119, $4,444 (26% win rate)
0x99d7...6435 — Outcome 64016119, $2,432 (89% win rate)
0x1a2f...647a — Outcome 64016119, $2,090 (65% win rate)

Related Theses

Spread: France (-1.5)

ResolvedFrance vs. Iraq - More Markets$114,737 tracked10 signalsSportsFIFA World CupGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 22 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Iraq". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “France”

80¢

75¢

69¢