Part of: Paraguay vs. France - More Markets
Spread: France (-2.5)
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $74,882.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports trader
Moderately interesting because a highly active, profitable sports trader is taking France -2.5 amid a large pre-game volume spike, though the individual bet is modest relative to liquidity.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,032 resolved trades and $140K in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 145 events with nearly $393K flagged in similar activity.
- Market volume is running 21x above its historical pace ahead of kickoff.
$1,268 on France | Wallet win rate: 55%
90% winner backs favorite spread
Sharp sports bettor with a 90% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought France -2.5 at 36¢.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $37K lifetime.
- They have beaten market-implied odds by a wide margin across 109 resolved positions.
- Entry at 36¢ implies they see France -2.5 as a strong plus-money spot.
$1,405 on France | Wallet win rate: 90%
94% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 94% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying France -2.5 despite the market sitting near 36%.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $76k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 54 events with the same 94% hit rate.
- They bought France -2.5, including one fill at the current 36¢ price.
$2,117 on France | Wallet win rate: 91%
New profitable sports whale
A 21-hour-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets and early $47.9k profit is buying Paraguay on the France -2.5 spread amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This brand-new wallet is already up $47,926 after deploying $448,564 across early positions.
- The bettor has been flagged 26 times for large new-wallet bets totaling $233,533.
- Market volume spiked over 1,300x versus its historical pace before this World Cup spread bet.
$5,850 on Paraguay | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 75% record and extensive cross-market history bought $41.8k of France -2.5 amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $254k lifetime.
- They put $41.8k on France -2.5 at 35¢, a concentrated position on a World Cup spread.
- This wallet has traded 112 related events with a 75% record, and this market just saw a large pre-event volume spike.
$41,788 on France | Wallet win rate: 75%
New profitable sports whale
A 20-hour-old wallet with strong early profit is repeatedly placing large Paraguay spread bets amid a huge pre-event volume spike.
- This 20-hour-old wallet has already made 23 flagged large bets totaling $222k.
- The bettor is up about $48k early and put another $15k on Paraguay to cover the spread.
- Market volume is surging 863x above its historical pace before kickoff.
$14,980 on Paraguay | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports bettor with $2.6M lifetime P&L is buying Paraguay on the France -2.5 spread, with the trade large relative to recent market activity.
- This bettor has a long track record: 63% wins across 5,747 resolved bets and $2.6M in lifetime profit.
- They have traded across 954 markets with over $13.3M total volume, suggesting a serious repeat bettor rather than a one-off whale.
- The $7.5K Paraguay buy was large versus the market’s recent activity, and one fill at 39¢ is already marked near 62¢.
$7,474 on Paraguay | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 50974834, $27,495 (69% win rate)
- 0xe987...f0e1 — Outcome 50974834, $20,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x8b88...8f33 — Outcome 50974834, $20,000 (99% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 50974834, $14,444 (96% win rate)
- 0xd3e7...ea94 — Outcome 50974834, $14,286 (77% win rate)
- 0x37ae...1002 — Outcome 50974834, $11,429 (76% win rate)
- 0xd34a...78c7 — Outcome 50974834, $10,000 (78% win rate)
- 0xfde6...7ed6 — Outcome 50974834, $10,000 (67% win rate)
- 0x8806...2e83 — Outcome 50974834, $8,333 (70% win rate)
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 50974834, $7,462 (54% win rate)
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