Part of: France vs. Sweden - More Markets

Spread: France (-2.5)

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sweden". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $744,330.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Elite sharp on France spread

Elite 88% winning wallet bought France at 60¢ amid one-sided clustered flow, a major price move, and a pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $1.55M lifetime.
They bought France at 60¢ before the market jumped to 86¢.
Seven wallets are betting the same way, with $48K total on France.

$3,001 on France | Wallet win rate: 87%

97% winner backs Sweden

Surfaced because the bettor has an exceptional 59/61 resolved record and is buying Sweden despite only modest supporting market-flow signals.

This bettor has won 59 of 61 resolved positions, an extremely strong sports-market track record.
They bought Sweden at 67¢, implying confidence France will not win by 3+ goals.
The market is seeing an 11x pre-event volume spike, adding some support to the move.

$1,753 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 61%

Five-wallet one-sided whale flow

Massive coordinated flow: five wallets bought Sweden for $466k amid a 550x pre-event volume spike, led by one wallet adding $288k at 68¢.

Five wallets are all betting the same way, totaling $466k on Sweden.
This market’s volume spiked 550x versus its historical average before the match.
The lead wallet put in $288k at 68¢, showing strong conviction that France will not cover -2.5.

$288,363 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 67%

Three-wallet France steam

Three wallets put $55.7k on France -2.5 at 33–34¢ during a major volume spike, and the market quickly repriced to 58¢.

Three wallets bought the same side for $55.7k, creating strong one-way pressure.
The market saw a 23x volume spike and France moved from 33¢ to 58¢ after these buys.
One wallet in the cluster is profitable, but the two largest wallets have weak long-term records, so this is mainly a momentum signal.

$55,705 on France

88% sports sharp buying spread

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% record and extensive cross-market history bought $15.3k of France -2.5 during a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved positions across 246 markets and has traded nearly $794k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market sports trader, active across 52 events with the same 88% hit rate.
A $15.3k buy came during a massive 599x volume spike, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.

$15,293 on France | Wallet win rate: 87%

94% winner buying underdog spread

Elite sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and $1.77M profit is buying France -2.5 at 33¢ despite modest market movement.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.77M lifetime.
They have traded across 659 markets with a 94% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 33¢ implies a potential 3x payout if France win by 3 or more.

$4,234 on France | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp bettor with 88% win rate

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 88% record and extensive cross-market history bought France -2.5 at 33¢ before kickoff.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $745K lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record: 70 markets across 44 events with the same 88% hit rate.
Entry at 33¢ implies a roughly 3x payout if France win by 3+ goals.

$2,000 on France | Wallet win rate: 87%

Six-wallet Sweden surge

A large six-wallet cluster bought $374k of Sweden on the spread during a major pre-event volume spike, creating a strong one-sided flow signal despite mixed wallet track records.

Six wallets bought the same side, putting $374k on Sweden at around 68¢.
Market volume spiked nearly 600x versus its usual baseline before the game.
Several wallets are experienced cross-market sports bettors, including one with $7.4M traded across 373 events.

$373,982 on Sweden