Part of: Norway vs. France - More Markets

Spread: France (-2.5)

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $195,338.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games

Notable Trades

New profitable whale exit

A 1-day-old repeat whale with early profits exited Norway before France resolved to 100%, making the equivalent copy trade a France buy at 25¢.

  • This 1-day-old wallet has already had $310K+ in flagged bets and is up about $124K on resolved trades.
  • The sell of Norway at 75¢ was equivalent to buying France at 25¢ in this binary spread market.
  • This was partly an exit from an existing Norway position, but the timing was strong as France later moved to 100%.

$30,909 on France | Wallet win rate: 75%

89% win-rate sports whale

A highly profitable 89% win-rate wallet with a long cross-market history bought France -2.5 despite the market later moving against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $1.45M lifetime.
  • They have traded 267 events with over $3.3M deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • The market has heavy pre-game volume and France has moved up sharply over the past day.

$5,000 on France | Wallet win rate: 88%

89% winner backing France spread

A highly profitable 89% win-rate sports bettor is leading a $22k three-wallet move into France -2.5 amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • The lead bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.45M lifetime.
  • Three wallets put $22k on France covering -2.5, with the sharpest wallet buying mostly at 47–56¢.
  • The market has seen a 16x volume spike and France is now available around 38¢, below the sharp wallet’s entry.

$22,112 on France

Profitable serial sports bettor

Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 76% record and extensive cross-market history bought France -2.5 amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $93k lifetime.
  • They have traded 101 related sports events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
  • France has seen heavy momentum, with odds up 37 points in the last day.

$1,482 on France | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp wallets buying Norway

High-score one-sided Norway flow is backed by a perfect 18-0 profitable wallet, a 70% serial cross-market trader, and a sharp move from 46¢ to 55¢.

  • A perfect 18-0 bettor joined the Norway side and is up $9.8K lifetime.
  • Three wallets put $9.7K on the same side, with Norway moving from about 46¢ to 55¢.
  • Another bettor in the cluster wins 70% of resolved bets and has traded 37 related events.

$9,715 on Norway

Proven winner joins France surge

A highly profitable 80% winner bought France at 27¢ alongside 12 same-direction wallets during a major volume and price spike.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $114K lifetime.
  • 12 wallets bought France the same way, totaling about $52K in one-sided flow.
  • France has already moved from the bettor’s 27¢ entry to 36¢ amid a 106x volume spike.

$2,700 on France | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable bettor joins France steam

Strong copy-trade candidate: a profitable high-volume bettor joined a 12-wallet one-sided France move amid a major pre-event volume spike and price impact.

  • This bettor has 3,570 resolved bets, wins 72%, and is up $180k lifetime.
  • 12 wallets bought France in the same window for about $52k total.
  • Volume spiked 107x and the market moved sharply toward France.

$2,488 on France | Wallet win rate: 72%

New whale and serial bettor

Strong coordinated Norway +2.5 flow from three wallets, led by a large new repeat bettor and a profitable serial cross-market trader amid a major volume spike.

  • Three wallets put $21.5k on Norway +2.5 in the same window.
  • A 23-hour-old wallet is already making repeat large bets, with $279k flagged across 23 alerts.
  • One wallet has won 70% of 87 resolved bets and is up $69k lifetime.

$21,469 on Norway

Undefeated serial sports bettor

A proven cross-market sports bettor with a 14-0 resolved record made a $42.5k buy on Norway amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is 14-0 on resolved bets and has traded across 25 events.
  • They put $42.5k on Norway at 76¢, a large single position even in an active market.
  • Market volume is surging 113x above its usual pace, and Norway remains the heavy side at 74% odds.

$42,491 on Norway | Wallet win rate: 96%

Million-profit serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor is buying France -2.5 amid a major pre-event volume spike and rising odds.

  • This bettor is up $1.78M lifetime across over 4,000 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 443 related events and are positioning across 4 markets in this same game.
  • France has moved from 22¢ to 24¢ already, with market volume spiking 318x before kickoff.

$1,064 on France | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1341...0853 Outcome 86631250, $25,000 (85% win rate)
  2. 0xabff...9e8f Outcome 86631250, $6,321 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x14e7...a32c Outcome 86631250, $3,172 (83% win rate)
  4. 0x8a80...11c5 Outcome 86631250, $2,381 (89% win rate)
  5. 0x7042...c72b Outcome 86631250, $2,346 (78% win rate)
  6. 0x629d...756c Outcome 86631250, $1,849
  7. 0x1ba2...d212 Outcome 86631250, $1,645 (46% win rate)
  8. 0xe8e0...7eec Outcome 86631250, $1,365 (85% win rate)
  9. 0xe401...7b88 Outcome 86631250, $1,200 (65% win rate)
  10. 0xcf83...35ae Outcome 86631250, $1,000 (91% win rate)

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Spread: France (-2.5)

ResolvedNorway vs. France - More Markets$195,338 tracked12 signalsSportsSoccerFIFA World CupGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Norway". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Norway
89¢
65¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: France (-2.5)

5d ago

$30,909 on France at 25¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

5d ago

$5,000 on France at 47¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

5d ago

$22,112 on France at 48¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

5d ago

$1,482 on France at 57¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

5d ago

$9,715 on Norway at 46¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

5d ago

$2,700 on France at 27¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

5d ago

$2,488 on France at 45¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

5d ago

$21,469 on Norway at 46¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

5d ago

$42,491 on Norway at 76¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

5d ago

$1,064 on France at 22¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

5d ago

$50,918 on France at 46¢

Spread: France (-2.5)

5d ago

$4,989 on France at 22¢

Related Theses