Part of: France vs. Iraq - More Markets
Spread: France (-3.5)
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $146,195.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
Profitable trader joins France cluster
Profitable serial sports trader exited Iraq as part of a broader clustered move into France, with strong one-sided flow and major price movement.
- This bettor is up $69K across 449 resolved trades and has a 74% win rate.
- Seven wallets took the France side in the same window, totaling $20K, with two linked by funding.
- The effective France entry was 30¢ before the market moved to 58¢, so this is only attractive near the original price.
$2,430 on France | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable cross-market whale
A profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad anti-France-spread thesis across three related markets, though this specific trade also looks like reducing a prior France position.
- This wallet is up about $200k lifetime across 439 resolved bets.
- They have placed $125k across three markets in this same event, pointing to a broader Iraq/anti-France thesis.
- Selling France at 16¢ converts to backing Iraq at 84¢ on the spread.
$15,002 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 55%
91% winner backs underdog spread
Sharp 91% winner is buying Iraq +3.5 alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved positions across 23 markets, with entries around 51¢ on average.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader, active across 31 events and $1.69M in tracked volume.
- Three wallets bought the same Iraq side for $58.9K as market volume spiked 246x above normal.
$25,606 on Iraq | Wallet win rate: 97%
Coordinated sharp spread buy
Four wallets bought $36.5k of Iraq +3.5 into a pre-event volume spike, including profitable serial cross-market traders with large sports history.
- Four wallets bought $36.5k on the same side, nearly matching the market’s available liquidity.
- Two serial cross-market bettors joined, including one up $2.3M lifetime and another winning 74% of resolved bets.
- The market saw a 15x volume spike ahead of the game, suggesting a concentrated shift toward Iraq +3.5.
$36,535 on Iraq
Sharp bettor joins France cluster
Surface: a high-scoring France spread buy cluster includes a 92% winning bettor, coordinated one-sided flow, and a major pre-event volume spike.
- One bettor in the cluster wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $4.5K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $26K of France -3.5 at 36–37¢ in a tight window.
- Market volume is surging 58x above normal, with this flow aligned across related markets.
$14,872 on France
Profitable serial sports sharp
Sharp serial sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.84M lifetime profit bought France -3.5 at 35¢.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.84M lifetime.
- They have traded 277 markets across 190 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 35¢ implies they see France covering by 4+ as a mispriced underdog side.
$1,750 on France | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable serial sports whale
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 75% resolved win rate and $1.68M lifetime profit put $50k on France to cover the spread.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $1.68M lifetime.
- They put $50k on France to cover, about 94% of the market’s 24h volume.
- This wallet has traded 415 events across 472 markets, so the track record is the main signal.
$50,000 on France | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0xdd88...dadb — Outcome 10521506, $129,922 (70% win rate)
- 0xd684...f320 — Outcome 10521506, $31,248 (58% win rate)
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 10521506, $28,571 (78% win rate)
- 0x4f12...8140 — Outcome 10521506, $20,270 (86% win rate)
- 0x119b...ac3e — Outcome 10521506, $14,286 (91% win rate)
- 0xc3ed...9f79 — Outcome 10521506, $12,979 (39% win rate)
- 0x06f8...2062 — Outcome 10521506, $11,000 (14% win rate)
- 0x5bc3...9ab5 — Outcome 10521506, $10,908 (89% win rate)
- 0xc1da...fefa — Outcome 10521506, $10,000 (89% win rate)
- 0xf93f...f94b — Outcome 10521506, $9,900 (72% win rate)
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