Part of: France vs. Sweden - More Markets
Spread: France (-3.5)
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,391.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Coordinated event flow
High composite signal from large coordinated event flow, but the specific wallet is not sharp and the spread leg has already moved to 100%.
- 20 wallets pushed the same direction on a related event market with $121K in one-sided buying.
- This wallet placed $12.3K across 5 event bets, including buying Sweden at 61¢ before it moved to 100¢.
- The bettor is not proven sharp overall, with a 53% record and about $90K in lifetime losses.
$12,289 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 53%
5-wallet sports spread cluster
Five wallets are buying the same spread side amid a 34x volume spike, with cross-market positioning and at least one profitable 70% lifetime bettor involved.
- Five wallets bought $17.7k on the same side, while market volume is running 34x above its usual pace.
- One participating bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up $103k lifetime.
- The buying connects to 6 related event markets, suggesting a broader game thesis rather than one isolated bet.
$17,672 on Sweden
94% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable 94% win-rate sports bettor is buying France -3.5 amid a major volume spike and upward price move.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.77M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 350 events with the same 94% win rate.
- France has moved up 12 points today with a 34x volume spike, supporting the same direction.
$2,430 on France | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xfde6...7ed6 — Outcome 74806937, $50,000 (67% win rate)
- 0xdb15...8393 — Outcome 74806937, $15,625 (67% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 74806937, $11,011 (94% win rate)
- 0x613b...823a — Outcome 74806937, $7,000 (58% win rate)
- 0x224f...514a — Outcome 74806937, $7,000 (85% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 74806937, $5,833 (76% win rate)
- 0xee0b...e6d4 — Outcome 74806937, $5,229 (68% win rate)
- 0xc092...0cd9 — Outcome 74806937, $4,072 (40% win rate)
- 0x44c4...09cb — Outcome 74806937, $3,351 (50% win rate)
- 0xe987...f0e1 — Outcome 74806937, $3,000 (99% win rate)
Related Theses
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