Part of: France vs. Sweden - More Markets

Spread: France (-3.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,391.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Coordinated event flow

High composite signal from large coordinated event flow, but the specific wallet is not sharp and the spread leg has already moved to 100%.

  • 20 wallets pushed the same direction on a related event market with $121K in one-sided buying.
  • This wallet placed $12.3K across 5 event bets, including buying Sweden at 61¢ before it moved to 100¢.
  • The bettor is not proven sharp overall, with a 53% record and about $90K in lifetime losses.

$12,289 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 53%

5-wallet sports spread cluster

Five wallets are buying the same spread side amid a 34x volume spike, with cross-market positioning and at least one profitable 70% lifetime bettor involved.

  • Five wallets bought $17.7k on the same side, while market volume is running 34x above its usual pace.
  • One participating bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up $103k lifetime.
  • The buying connects to 6 related event markets, suggesting a broader game thesis rather than one isolated bet.

$17,672 on Sweden

94% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable 94% win-rate sports bettor is buying France -3.5 amid a major volume spike and upward price move.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.77M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 350 events with the same 94% win rate.
  • France has moved up 12 points today with a 34x volume spike, supporting the same direction.

$2,430 on France | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfde6...7ed6 Outcome 74806937, $50,000 (67% win rate)
  2. 0xdb15...8393 Outcome 74806937, $15,625 (67% win rate)
  3. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 74806937, $11,011 (94% win rate)
  4. 0x613b...823a Outcome 74806937, $7,000 (58% win rate)
  5. 0x224f...514a Outcome 74806937, $7,000 (85% win rate)
  6. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 74806937, $5,833 (76% win rate)
  7. 0xee0b...e6d4 Outcome 74806937, $5,229 (68% win rate)
  8. 0xc092...0cd9 Outcome 74806937, $4,072 (40% win rate)
  9. 0x44c4...09cb Outcome 74806937, $3,351 (50% win rate)
  10. 0xe987...f0e1 Outcome 74806937, $3,000 (99% win rate)

Related Theses

Exactly four goals scored

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XLG upsets EDward Gaming

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Covers 3 related markets

Spread: France (-3.5)

ResolvedFrance vs. Sweden - More Markets$32,391 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sweden". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: France (-3.5)

1d ago

$12,289 on Sweden at 61¢

Spread: France (-3.5)

1d ago

$17,672 on Sweden at 70¢

Spread: France (-3.5)

1d ago

$2,430 on France at 27¢

Related Theses