Part of: France vs. Iraq - More Markets

Spread: France (-4.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $296,945.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

89% winner backs France

Sharp sports wallet with an 89% resolved win rate and $1.18M profit effectively backed France at 22¢ by selling Iraq, though this appears to close a prior Iraq position.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.18M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market sports trader with $340K tracked across 36 events.
  • Selling Iraq at 78¢ is equivalent to buying France at 22¢ on this binary spread market.

$2,606 on France | Wallet win rate: 87%

$6.9M sharp backs France

Elite 95% win-rate wallet with $6.9M lifetime profit is making a large cross-market bet on France -4.5 alongside one-sided cluster flow and major pre-event volume spikes.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $6.9M lifetime.
  • They put about $162K into France -4.5, with a roughly 34¢ average entry versus 21¢ current odds.
  • Six wallets are also buying France, and pre-game volume spiked hundreds of times above normal.

$288,500 on France | Wallet win rate: 94%

Repeat new wallet cluster

Three wallets bought Iraq +4.5, led by a repeat new-wallet whale with early profits and joined by a highly profitable bettor, though the market is fairly liquid.

  • A repeat new wallet is scaling up: 7 flagged large bets, 9 open positions, and $4,458 in early profit.
  • Three wallets bought the same Iraq side for $5,839 within four minutes.
  • One buyer has made $2.33M lifetime, adding credibility despite the market being liquid.

$5,839 on Iraq

Top Holders

  1. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 23794949, $50,000 (78% win rate)
  2. 0xee67...ef38 Outcome 23794949, $10,000 (71% win rate)
  3. 0x99b6...347e Outcome 23794949, $8,607 (67% win rate)
  4. 0xd684...f320 Outcome 23794949, $8,353 (58% win rate)
  5. 0xaa4c...7bfd Outcome 23794949, $4,771 (70% win rate)
  6. 0x51eb...6bfa Outcome 23794949, $3,671 (97% win rate)
  7. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 23794949, $3,599 (64% win rate)
  8. 0x37ae...1002 Outcome 23794949, $3,560 (91% win rate)
  9. 0x1d33...4af5 Outcome 23794949, $3,383 (98% win rate)
  10. 0x8d06...f79d Outcome 23794949, $2,619 (88% win rate)

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Spread: France (-4.5)

ResolvedFrance vs. Iraq - More Markets$296,945 tracked3 signalsSportsFIFA World CupGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 22 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France win the game by 5 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Iraq". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Iraq
96¢
74¢
51¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: France (-4.5)

9d ago

$2,606 on France at 22¢

Spread: France (-4.5)

9d ago

$288,500 on France at 34¢

Spread: France (-4.5)

9d ago

$5,839 on Iraq at 81¢

Related Theses