Part of: Ecuador vs. Germany - More Markets

Spread: Germany (-2.5)

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,852.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Elite sports sharp

Surfacing because a highly profitable sports bettor with an 88% record and extensive cross-market history bought Germany -2.5 at 20¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $698k lifetime.
  • They have traded 297 markets across 237 events, showing a long track record rather than a one-off hit.
  • Entry at 20¢ implies a 5x payout if Germany win by 3+ goals.

$1,111 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 85%

Proven sharp buying spread

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 76% record and $1.68M lifetime profit put $10k on Germany -2.5 amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.68M lifetime.
  • They have traded 440 events for $7.7M total, suggesting a serious repeat sports-market edge.
  • Their $10k Germany -2.5 position came during a 320x pre-event volume spike.

$10,000 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable sharp buying underdog spread

Sharp, highly profitable sports bettor with a 76% record and $1.68M lifetime profit is buying Germany -2.5 amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $1.68M lifetime.
  • They have traded 500 markets across 439 events, with $7.7M total deployed.
  • Germany -2.5 saw a 382x volume spike, and this wallet bought at 20¢ into the move.

$5,000 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 78%

76% win-rate sharp

Surfacing because a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 76% win rate and $1.83M lifetime profit is buying Ecuador on the spread.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.83M lifetime.
  • They are a proven cross-market trader, active across 212 events with over $1.09M tracked volume.
  • Buying Ecuador at 81¢ means they are backing Germany not to win by 3+ goals.

$1,501 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 76%

76% win-rate sharp

Surfacing because a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 76% win rate and $1.83M lifetime profit is buying Ecuador on the spread.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.83M lifetime.
  • They are a proven cross-market trader, active across 212 events with over $1.09M tracked volume.
  • Buying Ecuador at 81¢ means they are backing Germany not to win by 3+ goals.

$1,750 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable sharp joins cluster

Three wallets bought Ecuador on the Germany -2.5 spread, led by a highly profitable 76% winner with extensive cross-market sports activity.

  • A bettor who wins 76% of resolved trades is on this side and is up $1.83M lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought the same Ecuador spread outcome for $8.5K total.
  • The lead sharp is a serial cross-market trader with over $1M in tracked activity across hundreds of events.

$8,490 on Ecuador

Top Holders

  1. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 18288357, $46,869 (71% win rate)
  2. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 18288357, $24,635 (78% win rate)
  3. 0xdd88...dadb Outcome 18288357, $19,037 (70% win rate)
  4. 0x775d...6beb Outcome 18288357, $15,589 (76% win rate)
  5. 0x1a2f...647a Outcome 18288357, $15,189 (65% win rate)
  6. 0x629d...756c Outcome 18288357, $14,314
  7. 0x13d0...593d Outcome 18288357, $9,530 (82% win rate)
  8. 0xd1ed...d7cb Outcome 18288357, $8,566 (55% win rate)
  9. 0xb10b...0b04 Outcome 18288357, $5,555 (85% win rate)
  10. 0xe987...f0e1 Outcome 18288357, $5,000 (99% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany wins by six plus

Covers 3 related markets

Argentina, France, or Spain wins

Covers 3 related markets

Goals, not Germany by two

Covers 5 related markets

Spain wins comfortably

Covers 3 related markets

Mexico and Ecuador draw

Covers 3 related markets

Iran keeps Belgium low-scoring

Covers 7 related markets

Brazil wins by four plus

Covers 3 related markets

Japan covers in three-goal game

Covers 6 related markets

Argentina wins low scoring match

Covers 5 related markets

Türkiye vs US match canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Germany (-2.5)

ResolvedEcuador vs. Germany - More Markets$27,852 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 25 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ecuador". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Ecuador
91¢
85¢
78¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Germany (-2.5)

6d ago

$1,111 on Germany at 20¢

Spread: Germany (-2.5)

6d ago

$10,000 on Germany at 26¢

Spread: Germany (-2.5)

6d ago

$5,000 on Germany at 20¢

Spread: Germany (-2.5)

7d ago

$1,501 on Ecuador at 81¢

Spread: Germany (-2.5)

7d ago

$1,750 on Ecuador at 81¢

Spread: Germany (-2.5)

7d ago

$8,490 on Ecuador at 81¢

Related Theses