Part of: Germany vs. Curaçao - More Markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,319.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Linked underdog spread cluster
High-conviction coordinated Curaçao spread buying from 5 wallets, including 4 linked wallets and a profitable 75% bettor, with broad same-event positioning.
- Five wallets put $8.7K on the same side, with four wallets sharing a funder tied to $61K in total activity.
- One buyer wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $9.6K lifetime, making this more than just random flow.
- The group is also active across 18 markets in the same event, suggesting a broader World Cup thesis.
$8,680 on Curaçao
Sharp cluster backing underdog spread
Strong one-sided cluster on Curaçao includes multiple profitable high-win-rate wallets and moved the spread price sharply despite a liquid market.
- Six wallets put $12.5K on Curaçao, pushing that side up about 16 percentage points.
- One bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $173.6K lifetime.
- Another large bettor in the cluster is up $1.53M lifetime and added twice to Curaçao.
$12,511 on Curaçao
92% winner fading Germany
A highly profitable 92% win-rate sports trader is exiting Germany after a sharp price drop, making the equivalent copy trade Curaçao at 48¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $173k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 627 events, with over $1.38M total wagered.
- Selling Germany after a 29-point drop signals caution on the favorite covering the spread.
$1,100 on Curaçao | Wallet win rate: 90%
New profitable whale repeats
A 3-day-old repeat large bettor with positive early P&L is making another $3.4k Germany spread buy, suggesting fresh conviction despite limited history.
- This 3-day-old wallet has already been flagged 3 times for large bets and is up $2.4k early.
- They put $3.4k on Germany -2.5 at 72¢, adding another meaningful position quickly.
- The market is liquid, so the signal is mainly the wallet’s repeat size and early profitability.
$3,444 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 60%
17-wallet event cluster
Strong linked-wallet and cross-market event positioning from a highly profitable wallet now buying Curaçao after closing a Germany spread position.
- 17 linked wallets share a funder and are active on this event, with $314k across 11 related markets.
- This wallet is up $1.54M over 78k resolved trades, despite betting huge volume.
- They closed a Germany position and bought Curaçao at 30¢, suggesting a shift against Germany covering the spread.
$3,813 on Curaçao | Wallet win rate: 55%
Elite sports bettor buying favorite
A highly proven sports bettor with an 86% win rate and $427k lifetime profit is buying Germany to cover despite only modest market movement.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $427k lifetime.
- They have traded across 162 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
- Entry at 70¢ implies they still see value in Germany covering by 3+ goals.
$1,400 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 84%
17-wallet event cluster
Strong linked-wallet and cross-market event positioning from a highly profitable wallet now buying Curaçao after closing a Germany spread position.
- 17 linked wallets share a funder and are active on this event, with $314k across 11 related markets.
- This wallet is up $1.54M over 78k resolved trades, despite betting huge volume.
- They closed a Germany position and bought Curaçao at 30¢, suggesting a shift against Germany covering the spread.
$1,371 on Curaçao | Wallet win rate: 55%
Top Holders
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 52633545, $30,836 (70% win rate)
- 0xc152...3e66 — Outcome 52633545, $7,922 (100% win rate)
- 0xedf9...5c67 — Outcome 52633545, $2,981 (76% win rate)
- 0xf021...e900 — Outcome 52633545, $2,500 (66% win rate)
- 0x3c11...9b33 — Outcome 52633545, $2,000 (39% win rate)
- 0xd1ed...d7cb — Outcome 52633545, $1,878 (63% win rate)
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 52633545, $1,573 (70% win rate)
- 0xcf73...0215 — Outcome 52633545, $1,492 (58% win rate)
- 0x224f...514a — Outcome 52633545, $1,082 (84% win rate)
- 0xb9b4...3111 — Outcome 52633545, $1,050
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