Part of: Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury

Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,293.

Categories: Sports, WNBA, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable bettors backed Phoenix

Four wallets bought Phoenix Mercury for $16.9K, including two highly profitable bettors with large verified samples, though the market has since resolved to 100%.

  • Four wallets committed $16,926 to Phoenix Mercury at 49–57¢, creating a strong one-sided sports signal.
  • Two participants have substantial track records: one is up $2.2M over 27,284 bets and another is up $1.6M over 12,530 bets.
  • The market has since moved to 100%, so this was a successful signal but is no longer actionable at the original price.

$16,926 on Phoenix Mercury

90% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with 1,813 resolved positions and a 90% win rate is making a sizable bet on Phoenix in a relatively thin market.

  • This bettor has won 90% of 1,813 resolved positions and is up $3.15 million lifetime.
  • They placed $1,368 on Phoenix Mercury at 52¢, nearly 40% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The wallet has traded across 879 events and 1,132 markets, providing unusually strong evidence of repeatable skill.

$1,368 on Phoenix Mercury | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0x224a...a3d5 Outcome 99083779, $13,343 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x9c3c...e8c9 Outcome 99083779, $13,333 (95% win rate)
  3. 0x57b2...9da2 Outcome 99083779, $2,000 (90% win rate)
  4. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 99083779, $1,894 (74% win rate)
  5. 0x969e...b834 Outcome 99083779, $911
  6. 0xa032...2090 Outcome 99083779, $772 (84% win rate)
  7. 0xa3b5...941a Outcome 99083779, $400 (66% win rate)
  8. 0xa544...7566 Outcome 99083779, $226
  9. 0x77a3...7dee Outcome 99083779, $204
  10. 0x9311...7c73 Outcome 99083779, $150

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Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)

ResolvedGolden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury$18,293 tracked2 signalsSportsWNBAGames

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 29 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries" if the Golden State Valkyries win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Phoenix Mercury
54¢
51¢
48¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)

10d ago

$16,926 on Phoenix Mercury at 55¢

Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)

11d ago

$1,368 on Phoenix Mercury at 52¢

Related Theses