Part of: Timberwolves vs. Heat

Spread: Heat (-1.5)

In the upcoming NBA game between Timberwolves and Heat, scheduled for October 21 at 7:30PM ET: If Heat wins by more than 1.5 points, the market will resolve to "Heat". If Timberwolves loses by fewer than 1.5 points, or wins the game outright, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until completed. If the game is canceled entirely, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $51,817.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor leads three-wallet surge

Three wallets bought Timberwolves for $8.5K amid a 33x volume spike, including a highly profitable bettor with an 86% win rate.

  • Three wallets put $8,468 on Timberwolves, while market volume ran 33x above its historical average.
  • One buyer has won 86% of 530 resolved bets and is up $2.38M lifetime.
  • They entered around 49–51¢; Timberwolves is now priced at 56¢.

$8,468 on Timberwolves

Proven bettor with 225 wins

A highly profitable bettor with 225 wins from 226 resolved positions bought Heat at 53%, making this a strong track-record signal despite the modest trade size.

  • This bettor has won 225 of 226 resolved positions and earned about $401K on $1.13M invested.
  • They bought Heat at 53¢, close to the current 52% odds, with a record that shows unusually strong results at similar prices.
  • The wallet has traded across 262 events, suggesting a broad and sustained track record rather than a one-off win.

$2,000 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 100%

Proven bettor adds to Heat position

A highly profitable bettor added a $39.5K Heat position at 51¢, matching a large existing position amid a sharp volume spike.

  • The wallet is flagged with 22 wins from 22 resolved bets and a reported 31-point edge over its average odds.
  • They added $39,535 on Heat at 51¢, on top of an existing $77,519 position at the same entry price.
  • The bet was about as large as the market’s entire 24-hour volume, which spiked 202× its historical average.

$39,535 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 84%

Proven 88% winner backs Heat

A highly profitable bettor with 88% wins across 567 resolved positions bought Heat at 50¢, making this a notable sports position despite its modest size.

  • This bettor has won 498 of 567 resolved positions and is up $34.5 million.
  • They bought Heat at 50¢, with a reported 88% win rate across 89 events.
  • The $1,815 position is a fresh bet on Heat in a liquid market.

$1,815 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9368...f390 — Heat, $43,092 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xf031...c80c — Heat, $16,364 (89% win rate)
  3. 0xeecc...8392 — Heat, $4,900 (96% win rate)
  4. 0x2b34...176e — Heat, $3,773 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x4667...cab0 — Heat, $1,756 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x715b...920f — Heat, $792
  7. 0x1f3a...895d — Heat, $736 (72% win rate)
  8. 0x5c54...f1d2 — Heat, $630
  9. 0x054b...afd5 — Heat, $444
  10. 0xd9c9...6686 — Heat, $130

Related Theses

Knicks win by six or more

Covers 3 related markets

Bucks win by five-plus points

Covers 3 related markets

Broncos beat Seahawks outright

Covers 3 related markets

49ers win a low-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Bucks beat the Wizards

Covers 3 related markets

Norway routs Iraq in shootout

Covers 4 related markets

Qatar beats Bosnia and Herzegovina

Covers 3 related markets

Austria advances in defensive battle

Covers 4 related markets

Cowboys win a low-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Grizzlies defeat the Warriors

Covers 4 related markets

Spread: Heat (-1.5)

Timberwolves vs. Heat$51,817 tracked4 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Heat
0¢
Timberwolves
100¢

In the upcoming NBA game between Timberwolves and Heat, scheduled for October 21 at 7:30PM ET: If Heat wins by more than 1.5 points, the market will resolve to "Heat". If Timberwolves loses by fewer than 1.5 points, or wins the game outright, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until completed. If the game is canceled entirely, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

MIN
131
1-0
Final
Kaseya Center
MIA
106
0-1
Draft Kings
Spread: MIA -1.5O/U: 240.5ML: -102/-118
Win Prob
—
Poly: 0¢
Last Play
—

Notable Trades

Spread: Heat (-1.5)

2026-10-21 23:57 UTC

$8,468 on Timberwolves at 49¢

49¢→100¢↑51¢

Spread: Heat (-1.5)

2026-10-21 23:48 UTC

$2,000 on Heat at 53¢

Spread: Heat (-1.5)

2026-10-21 22:29 UTC

$39,535 on Heat at 51¢

Spread: Heat (-1.5)

2026-10-21 17:18 UTC

$1,815 on Heat at 50¢

Related Theses