Part of: Wizards vs. Heat

Spread: Heat (-16.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,793.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

96% serial timer

A highly profitable serial timer with a 96% win rate placed a $33k live-sports bet just 2.6 minutes before resolution, a pattern that has generated outsized profits across many markets.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $6.2M lifetime
  • They placed $33k with 2.6 minutes left, and they have 33 last-minute bets across 22 markets
  • Buying Heat at 58¢ suggests they saw the true odds well above the market late in the game

$32,973 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 50%

6-wallet funded cluster

A known 6-wallet funded cluster backed a sharp, high-volume cross-market sports trader on a wide-spread NBA spread market, and the price moved up from 58¢ to 66¢ after entry.

  • Six linked wallets funded by the same source have shown up before, and one of them just bought $2.8k on this side.
  • This wallet has bet across 26 related markets and wins 66% of resolved trades, suggesting a repeat sports trader rather than a one-off bettor.
  • The buy came at 58¢ and the market is now 66¢, so the trade already pushed into profit in a market with a very wide 29¢ spread.

$2,820 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbddf...c684 Outcome 39224707, $17,179 (93% win rate)
  2. 0xb3cf...0ebd Outcome 39224707, $6,817 (80% win rate)
  3. 0xf112...d9e1 Outcome 39224707, $445
  4. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 39224707, $434
  5. 0x9a89...76ec Outcome 39224707, $353
  6. 0x2a9e...f670 Outcome 39224707, $197
  7. 0xe73d...cbf8 Outcome 39224707, $185
  8. 0x480e...90c7 Outcome 39224707, $120
  9. 0x2685...bb3a Outcome 39224707, $116 (77% win rate)
  10. 0x3a51...b2b6 Outcome 39224707, $99 (64% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Spread: Heat (-16.5)

ResolvedWizards vs. Heat$35,793 tracked2 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 4 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Heat" if the Heat win the game by 17 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

WAS
17-60
Kaseya Center
MIA
41-37
Draft Kings
Spread: MIA -18.5O/U: 245.5ML: +1200/-2400
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Heat (-16.5)

46d ago

$32,973 on Heat at 58¢

Spread: Heat (-16.5)

46d ago

$2,820 on Heat at 58¢

Related Theses