Spread: Heat (-16.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $85,116.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

4-wallet one-sided surge

Four wallets piled $62.8k into the Heat spread at roughly 50¢ during a 47.8x volume spike, a meaningful coordinated bet even though the individual wallet track records are mixed.

  • Four wallets all bought Heat within minutes, putting $62.8k on the same side
  • This hit during a 47.8x jump in market activity, showing unusually strong pregame conviction
  • Most of the size came in around 49-51¢, so the group is treating this as close to a coin flip with upside if they are right

$62,841 on Heat

4-wallet sports betting cluster

Surface this because a high-volume sports bettor with nearly 3,000 resolved bets and a profitable history is part of a 4-wallet funded cluster, suggesting coordinated conviction behind the Heat spread buy.

  • This bettor has nearly 3,000 resolved bets, wins 61% of them, and is up about $20k overall
  • Four wallets funded by the same address have put in about $18k total, which points to shared conviction
  • They bought Heat -16.5 at 48¢, a cheap entry if they think Miami covers more often than the market implies

$1,230 on Heat | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A high-volume, profitable serial sports trader with over $1.07M in realized profit just placed a $21k buy into Wizards on a market seeing an extreme pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 230 of 409 resolved markets and is up $1.07M lifetime
  • They just put $21k on Wizards at 52¢, a sizable bet in a market with $58.7k total volume
  • Market activity is surging at 405x its normal pace, suggesting sharper money is showing up before tipoff

$21,044 on Wizards | Wallet win rate: 57%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Outcome 83422216, $481,142 (51% win rate)
  2. 0x4924...3782 Outcome 54067002, $459,850 (51% win rate)
  3. 0x37c1...c53a Outcome 83422216, $185,249 (67% win rate)
  4. 0x777d...5143 Outcome 54067002, $107,083 (51% win rate)
  5. 0xa710...23c4 Outcome 83422216, $62,907 (57% win rate)
  6. 0x93ab...9723 Outcome 54067002, $61,171 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x6ade...f5b0 Outcome 83422216, $10,000 (51% win rate)
  8. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 83422216, $6,316 (73% win rate)
  9. 0x0daa...c9da Outcome 54067002, $6,037 (56% win rate)
  10. 0x9b97...6084 Outcome 83422216, $357 (86% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Heat (-16.5)

Resolved$85,116 tracked3 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 10 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Heat" if the Heat win the game by 17 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Heat
69¢
58¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Heat (-16.5)

1d ago

$62,841 on Heat at 50¢

Spread: Heat (-16.5)

1d ago

$1,230 on Heat at 48¢

Spread: Heat (-16.5)

1d ago

$21,044 on Wizards at 52¢

Related Theses