Spread: Houston (-2.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,023.

Notable Trades

Five-wallet Houston buying cluster

A 162x volume surge and five-wallet Houston buying cluster create a meaningful directional signal despite this wallet hedging across both sides and lacking a strong historical edge.

Five wallets bought Houston for a combined $35,957, creating concentrated one-sided flow.
Market activity was 162 times its historical average, suggesting unusually strong pre-game positioning.
The featured wallet has a large sample and $3.76M profit, but its 55% win rate offers only limited evidence of a sharp edge.

$8,837 on Houston | Wallet win rate: 55%

Four-wallet Texas Tech cluster

Four wallets placed $30.6K on Texas Tech during a massive volume spike, although this wallet also hedged by buying Houston.

Four wallets are aligned on Texas Tech, committing $30,607 in a market with only $4,183 of recent volume.
Trading surged to 313.9 times the historical average, suggesting unusually strong pre-event positioning.
This wallet has a large profitable history, but its opposing Houston purchase makes its individual direction less clear.

$3,185 on Texas Tech | Wallet win rate: 55%

Top Holders

0xa38a...821d — Outcome 55686944, $9,405 (57% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 55686944, $574 (64% win rate)
0x5c85...9634 — Outcome 55686944, $200 (68% win rate)
0x9028...8608 — Outcome 55686944, $41
0x1a59...a57e — Outcome 55686944, $25
0xf30a...61fb — Outcome 55686944, $25
0x6334...d3e1 — Outcome 55686944, $23
0x2aa1...65a7 — Outcome 55686944, $10
0xf3a3...2502 — Outcome 55686944, $9

Related Theses

Orioles edge Dodgers low-scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Red Sox win a low-scoring nail-biter

Covers 5 related markets

Yankees win a low-scoring game

Covers 7 related markets

Royals win a low-scoring nail-biter

Covers 4 related markets

White Sox win a low-scoring game

Covers 7 related markets

Cubs win a close, seven-run game

Covers 5 related markets

Mariners win a low-scoring game

Covers 5 related markets

Giants win a one-run, 8-run game

Covers 6 related markets

Spread: Houston (-2.5)

ResolvedHouston vs. Texas Tech$12,023 tracked2 signalsSportsCFB (All)Games

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 18 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston" if Houston win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Texas Tech". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades