Part of: Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros

Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 1 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Texas Rangers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Texas Rangers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,022.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

94% win-rate sports bettor

An exceptionally successful bettor with a 94% win rate and 35-point edge bought Texas at 85%, making this a highly notable sports position despite subsequent price decline.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 7,273 resolved positions and is up $1.38 million.
  • Their average entry on winning bets is 60%, versus a 94% overall win rate—an unusually strong historical edge.
  • The $2,624 Texas position is fresh conviction from a serial cross-market trader active across 501 events.

$2,624 on Texas Rangers | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp bettor leads Rangers cluster

Four wallets concentrated $6,398 on Texas Rangers, including a highly profitable 94% win-rate bettor, though the market has already moved sharply to 99%.

  • A bettor with 6,858 wins from 7,273 resolved positions is up $1.38 million and bought Texas Rangers.
  • Four wallets committed $6,398 to the same outcome, with entries between 75¢ and 85¢.
  • Texas Rangers has since risen to roughly 99%, so the original edge may be largely exhausted.

$6,398 on Texas Rangers

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 — Houston Astros, $557 (64% win rate)
  2. 0xeeaa...15ce — Houston Astros, $146
  3. 0x2d67...3667 — Houston Astros, $123
  4. 0xb4bf...60f8 — Houston Astros, $102 (77% win rate)
  5. 0xe84f...b777 — Houston Astros, $99
  6. 0x4a55...a82a — Houston Astros, $48 (69% win rate)
  7. 0x3459...caa6 — Houston Astros, $36
  8. 0x3286...52e5 — Houston Astros, $34
  9. 0x1621...f040 — Houston Astros, $33
  10. 0x8935...7daa — Houston Astros, $25 (70% win rate)

Related Theses

Bears cover in low-scoring game

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Texas Rangers will beat White Sox

Covers 1 related market

Royals-Blue Jays stay under 7.5

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Cavaliers cover against Pistons

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

San Jose won't win

Covers 1 related market

Portland-Dallas game stays low-scoring

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)

Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros$9,022 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Houston Astros
0¢
Texas Rangers
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 1 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Texas Rangers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Texas Rangers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

TEX
4
55-56
Final
HOU
5
57-55
TEX -126HOU +104O/U 8Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Daikin Park, Houston
Attendance
38,461

Notable Trades

Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)

2026-08-02 01:59 UTC

$2,624 on Texas Rangers at 85¢

85¢→100¢↑15¢

Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)

2026-08-02 02:07 UTC

$6,398 on Texas Rangers at 82¢

82¢→100¢↑18¢

Related Theses