Part of: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $164,374.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Three-wallet Blue Jays cluster
A three-wallet Blue Jays cluster placed nearly $19,300 at roughly 50%, including a bettor with an 86% record, though the small sample and larger opposing Astros flow temper the signal.
- Three wallets committed $19,263 to Toronto at 49–55¢, showing concentrated conviction before the sharp repricing.
- One wallet is 6–1 with $45,715 in reported profit, though its track record is still a small sample.
- A larger 10-wallet cluster bet $109,827 on Houston, making this a notable but conflicting sports signal; Toronto has since reached 100%.
$19,263 on Toronto Blue Jays
96% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge bought Houston at 51% in a liquid sports market.
- This bettor has won 124 of 129 resolved positions, with $914,716 in reported profit.
- The wallet typically buys at an average 45% price but has achieved a 96% win rate, indicating a substantial edge.
- Houston was bought at 51% and has already moved to 54%, reinforcing the direction of the trade.
$2,040 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 96%
94% winner scaling into Astros
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate is adding to an existing Astros spread position at even odds.
- This bettor has won 94% of 90 resolved trades and is up $70,659.
- The trader is adding $5,747 to an existing Astros position, bringing total investment to about $17,263.
- At 50¢, the Astros need to cover the spread roughly half the time to break even, while this bettor’s history shows a 21-point edge over average implied odds.
$5,747 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp cluster scaling into Houston
Three wallets added $62,126 to Houston at 50-51%, including two highly profitable bettors and a major pre-event volume spike.
- Three wallets bought $62,126 of Houston at 50-51%, with each already holding a sizable Astros position.
- Two participants have exceptional records: 94% wins over 90 bets and 96% over 25 bets.
- Trading volume surged to 189.5 times its recent average, making this a concentrated pre-event signal.
$62,126 on Houston Astros
Profitable serial bettor scales into Houston
A profitable, highly active bettor made a concentrated $75,000 Astros bet that dwarfed the market’s prior volume, though the position is currently underwater.
- This bettor is up $733,000 across 810 resolved trades and has wagered over $16.9 million.
- The $75,000 Astros purchase was roughly 15 times the market’s prior 24-hour volume and drove an enormous volume spike.
- The bettor bought at an average near 61¢ while the market is now 48¢, making this a high-conviction but currently losing position.
$75,197 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 24270611, $117,512 (51% win rate)
- 0x1d1a...0df6 — Outcome 24270611, $63,178 (56% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 24270611, $14,900 (63% win rate)
- 0xf8f3...7e0b — Outcome 24270611, $11,516 (95% win rate)
- 0xdd5e...9040 — Outcome 24270611, $4,230 (81% win rate)
- 0xa084...bb99 — Outcome 24270611, $4,000 (96% win rate)
- 0x300b...f636 — Outcome 24270611, $3,922 (59% win rate)
- 0xc0df...5974 — Outcome 24270611, $1,961 (92% win rate)
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 24270611, $748 (70% win rate)
- 0xe216...7448 — Outcome 24270611, $636 (64% win rate)
