Part of: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)
In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 5 at 2:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $164,374.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Three-wallet Blue Jays cluster
A three-wallet Blue Jays cluster placed nearly $19,300 at roughly 50%, including a bettor with an 86% record, though the small sample and larger opposing Astros flow temper the signal.
- Three wallets committed $19,263 to Toronto at 49–55¢, showing concentrated conviction before the sharp repricing.
- One wallet is 6–1 with $45,715 in reported profit, though its track record is still a small sample.
- A larger 10-wallet cluster bet $109,827 on Houston, making this a notable but conflicting sports signal; Toronto has since reached 100%.
$19,263 on Toronto Blue Jays
96% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge bought Houston at 51% in a liquid sports market.
- This bettor has won 124 of 129 resolved positions, with $914,716 in reported profit.
- The wallet typically buys at an average 45% price but has achieved a 96% win rate, indicating a substantial edge.
- Houston was bought at 51% and has already moved to 54%, reinforcing the direction of the trade.
$2,040 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 91%
94% winner scaling into Astros
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate is adding to an existing Astros spread position at even odds.
- This bettor has won 94% of 90 resolved trades and is up $70,659.
- The trader is adding $5,747 to an existing Astros position, bringing total investment to about $17,263.
- At 50¢, the Astros need to cover the spread roughly half the time to break even, while this bettor’s history shows a 21-point edge over average implied odds.
$5,747 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp cluster scaling into Houston
Three wallets added $62,126 to Houston at 50-51%, including two highly profitable bettors and a major pre-event volume spike.
- Three wallets bought $62,126 of Houston at 50-51%, with each already holding a sizable Astros position.
- Two participants have exceptional records: 94% wins over 90 bets and 96% over 25 bets.
- Trading volume surged to 189.5 times its recent average, making this a concentrated pre-event signal.
$62,126 on Houston Astros
Profitable serial bettor scales into Houston
A profitable, highly active bettor made a concentrated $75,000 Astros bet that dwarfed the market’s prior volume, though the position is currently underwater.
- This bettor is up $733,000 across 810 resolved trades and has wagered over $16.9 million.
- The $75,000 Astros purchase was roughly 15 times the market’s prior 24-hour volume and drove an enormous volume spike.
- The bettor bought at an average near 61¢ while the market is now 48¢, making this a high-conviction but currently losing position.
$75,197 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0x1d1a...0df6 — Houston Astros, $63,178 (63% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Houston Astros, $14,900 (64% win rate)
- 0xf8f3...7e0b — Houston Astros, $11,516 (95% win rate)
- 0xdd5e...9040 — Houston Astros, $4,230 (86% win rate)
- 0xa084...bb99 — Houston Astros, $4,000 (91% win rate)
- 0xc0df...5974 — Houston Astros, $1,961 (92% win rate)
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Houston Astros, $748 (71% win rate)
- 0xe216...7448 — Houston Astros, $636 (67% win rate)
- 0xf6d0...712d — Houston Astros, $490 (71% win rate)
- 0xea39...9d34 — Houston Astros, $470 (86% win rate)
Related Theses
Low-scoring Valkyries keep it close
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