Part of: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros

Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 5 at 2:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $8,339.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Large bettor moves thin Astros market

A large $8.3K sports bet consumed most of the market's volume and coincided with a sharp repricing toward Toronto despite the wallet's only moderate historical win rate.

  • A single $8,339 bet represents 62% of the market's 24-hour volume, a strong concentration in a market with only $527 liquidity.
  • The Toronto side moved sharply upward beyond its prior price range after this trade, while the bettor also traded across five markets in the same event.
  • The wallet is profitable overall but has a modest 54% win rate across nearly 30,000 resolved bets, so the market impact is more compelling than the track record.

$8,339 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 55%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdd5e...9040 — Houston Astros, $728 (85% win rate)
  2. 0x032e...2a9e — Houston Astros, $84 (76% win rate)
  3. 0x9cb3...1367 — Houston Astros, $53
  4. 0x1b0f...b7ae — Houston Astros, $51 (92% win rate)
  5. 0x453d...2dba — Houston Astros, $21
  6. 0x4438...f659 — Houston Astros, $16
  7. 0x8935...7daa — Houston Astros, $12 (70% win rate)
  8. 0x23df...640a — Houston Astros, $12
  9. 0x427a...4e18 — Houston Astros, $5
  10. 0x8caf...5d4d — Houston Astros, $5

Related Theses

Orioles edge Dodgers low-scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Red Sox win a low-scoring nail-biter

Covers 5 related markets

Yankees win a low-scoring game

Covers 7 related markets

Boston Red Sox win the game

Covers 7 related markets

Royals win a low-scoring nail-biter

Covers 4 related markets

White Sox win a low-scoring game

Covers 7 related markets

Cubs win a close, seven-run game

Covers 5 related markets

Mariners win a low-scoring game

Covers 5 related markets

Royals win a low-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Giants win a one-run, 8-run game

Covers 6 related markets

Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros$8,339 tracked1 signalSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Houston Astros
0¢
Toronto Blue Jays
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 5 at 2:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

TOR
5
54-61
Final
HOU
4
59-57
TOR +195HOU -208O/U 8Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Daikin Park, Houston
Attendance
27,751

Notable Trades

Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)

2026-08-05 19:56 UTC

$8,339 on Toronto Blue Jays at 83¢

83¢→100¢↑17¢

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Orioles edge Dodgers low-scoring
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Ange…Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-…Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Ange…
Red Sox win a low-scoring nail-biter
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