Part of: Italy vs. Türkiye - More Markets

Spread: Italy (-1.5)

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 5 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Türkiye". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $67,705.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UEFA Nations League

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors build Türkiye position

Three wallets bought $44.8K of Türkiye amid an 82x volume spike, including bettors with exceptional reported track records.

  • Three wallets put a combined $44,828 on Türkiye, with two adding to existing positions.
  • One bettor has a 94% win rate across 1,818 resolved positions; another reports 97% across 29.
  • Trading volume spiked to 82 times its historical average as the group bought Türkiye.

$44,828 on Türkiye

Profitable serial trader takes large Italy position

A highly active, lifetime-profitable trader placed a $2,897 Italy position that represents most of the market's recent volume, though their overall win rate does not exceed their average winning entry price.

  • A bettor with 110,944 resolved trades is up $8.2M lifetime.
  • The $2,897 buy accounts for about 73% of the 24-hour volume reported by the alert.
  • They entered Italy at 45¢ while the current market price is about 44¢.

$10,813 on Italy | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable serial trader adding to Türkiye

A highly profitable bettor with 1,817 resolved trades is adding to a Türkiye position, backed by a serial cross-market trading pattern.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 1,817 resolved trades and is up $103,890.
  • They are adding to an existing Türkiye position, bringing their investment to over $6,500.
  • The wallet has traded across 45 events and 47 markets, showing a recurring cross-market pattern.

$2,314 on Türkiye | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable serial trader takes large Italy position

A highly active, lifetime-profitable trader placed a $2,897 Italy position that represents most of the market's recent volume, though their overall win rate does not exceed their average winning entry price.

  • A bettor with 110,944 resolved trades is up $8.2M lifetime.
  • The $2,897 buy accounts for about 73% of the 24-hour volume reported by the alert.
  • They entered Italy at 45¢ while the current market price is about 44¢.

$1,150 on Italy | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable serial trader takes large Italy position

A highly active, lifetime-profitable trader placed a $2,897 Italy position that represents most of the market's recent volume, though their overall win rate does not exceed their average winning entry price.

  • A bettor with 110,944 resolved trades is up $8.2M lifetime.
  • The $2,897 buy accounts for about 73% of the 24-hour volume reported by the alert.
  • They entered Italy at 45¢ while the current market price is about 44¢.

$2,897 on Italy | Wallet win rate: 70%

Three-wallet Italy buying wave

Three wallets bought Italy at 45¢ for $5,704, exceeding the market’s reported 24-hour volume and providing a notable same-direction signal.

  • Three wallets bought Italy at 45¢, putting $5,704 behind the same outcome.
  • The combined buy is larger than the market’s reported $3,950 in 24-hour volume.
  • One buyer has a 71% win rate across more than 110,000 resolved bets, though their average winning price is higher than this entry.

$5,704 on Italy

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Brazil wins low-scoring shutout

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Paraguay fails to win

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Austria routs Argentina after halftime

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Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless

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Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet

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Ecuador wins big to nil

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Spread: Italy (-1.5)

Italy vs. Türkiye - More Markets$67,705 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerUEFA Nations League
Italy
100¢
Türkiye
0¢

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 5 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Italy" if Italy win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Türkiye". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Notable Trades

Spread: Italy (-1.5)

2026-10-05 17:53 UTC

$44,828 on Türkiye at 56¢

Spread: Italy (-1.5)

2026-10-05 17:40 UTC

$10,813 on Italy at 45¢

45¢→100¢↑55¢

Spread: Italy (-1.5)

2026-10-05 14:29 UTC

$2,314 on Türkiye at 55¢

Spread: Italy (-1.5)

2026-10-05 12:06 UTC

$1,150 on Italy at 45¢

45¢→100¢↑55¢

Spread: Italy (-1.5)

2026-10-05 06:32 UTC

$2,897 on Italy at 45¢

45¢→100¢↑55¢

Spread: Italy (-1.5)

2026-10-05 06:26 UTC

$5,704 on Italy at 45¢

45¢→100¢↑55¢

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
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Paraguay fails to win
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Austria routs Argentina after halftime
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Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Austria: Both Te…Argentina vs. Austria: Austria…
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
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Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
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Ecuador wins big to nil
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Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
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Spread: Japan (-2.5)Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Iraq upsets toothless France
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Spread: France (-4.5)France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.…Spread: France (-1.5)
France wins exactly 2-0
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France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Spread: France (-2.5)
Norway and Senegal draw
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Will Norway vs. Senegal end in…Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22…Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?