Part of: Japan vs. Sweden - More Markets
Spread: Japan (-1.5)
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,577.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
79% serial sports sharp
Sharp serial sports trader with a 79% resolved win rate bought Sweden at 74¢ before the market moved to 96¢ amid a large volume spike.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $61.8k lifetime.
- They bought Sweden at 74¢ before it moved to 96¢, a 22-point gain.
- This wallet has traded across 159 events, and this market saw a 34x volume spike around the move.
$1,480 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 79%
Linked wallets driving Over
Coordinated linked-wallet Over buying plus a large price move and volume spike make this worth watching, despite the main wallet’s weak lifetime P&L.
- Six wallets are all buying the same Over side, with two linked by funding and $23.7k placed together.
- Over moved up 27 percentage points while event volume spiked to 46x its usual pace.
- This wallet is also spreading $6.7k across related Sweden and totals markets, suggesting a broader game thesis.
$6,675 on Over | Wallet win rate: 53%
Proven winner joins Japan cluster
Surface because a highly profitable 89% win-rate wallet is buying Japan alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.45M bought $4.6K of Japan.
- Three wallets bought $13.5K on the same side during a 39x pre-game volume spike.
- Japan is now 16¢, below these buyers’ 18–22¢ entries, offering a cheaper copy point.
$13,515 on Japan
88% winner backs Sweden
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% long-term win rate and $3.3M profit bought Sweden at 73¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader with over 1,000 events traded and $9.45M in tracked volume.
- The bet backs Sweden at 73¢, meaning Japan must fail to win by 2+ goals.
$1,203 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 88%
88% winner backs Sweden
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% long-term win rate and $3.3M profit bought Sweden at 73¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader with over 1,000 events traded and $9.45M in tracked volume.
- The bet backs Sweden at 73¢, meaning Japan must fail to win by 2+ goals.
$2,829 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 88%
88% winner backs Sweden
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% long-term win rate and $3.3M profit bought Sweden at 73¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader with over 1,000 events traded and $9.45M in tracked volume.
- The bet backs Sweden at 73¢, meaning Japan must fail to win by 2+ goals.
$1,641 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 88%
88% winner backs Sweden
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% long-term win rate and $3.3M profit bought Sweden at 73¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader with over 1,000 events traded and $9.45M in tracked volume.
- The bet backs Sweden at 73¢, meaning Japan must fail to win by 2+ goals.
$1,785 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 88%
Pre-game event-wide steam
Surface due to a large pre-event volume surge and broad cross-market positioning, though the wallet itself has a weak long-term record.
- Volume in this market spiked over 1,100x versus its usual baseline before the game.
- This wallet has placed $92k across 9 related markets, suggesting a broader event thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Sweden is being bought at 72¢, with the market already up 9 points over the past week.
$6,550 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 48%
89% winner backing Japan spread
Surfacing because this is a proven sharp bettor with an 89% record and $1.43M profit buying Japan -1.5 at 29¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.43M lifetime.
- They have traded across 260 events with the same strong 89% hit rate.
- Entry at 29¢ implies a ~3.4x payout if Japan win by 2+ goals.
$2,900 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0x9d12...7954 — Outcome 35602732, $50,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 35602732, $42,441 (64% win rate)
- 0x94d7...bef5 — Outcome 35602732, $30,909 (88% win rate)
- 0xe734...4f0c — Outcome 35602732, $18,000 (46% win rate)
- 0xe987...f0e1 — Outcome 35602732, $10,000 (99% win rate)
- 0xa974...ef79 — Outcome 35602732, $10,000 (82% win rate)
- 0x16c7...3931 — Outcome 35602732, $9,496 (53% win rate)
- 0xdf9f...998b — Outcome 35602732, $8,466 (82% win rate)
- 0x4df3...788f — Outcome 35602732, $8,066 (70% win rate)
- 0xa940...9cff — Outcome 35602732, $7,143
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