Part of: Japan vs. Sweden - More Markets

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,577.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

79% serial sports sharp

Sharp serial sports trader with a 79% resolved win rate bought Sweden at 74¢ before the market moved to 96¢ amid a large volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $61.8k lifetime.
  • They bought Sweden at 74¢ before it moved to 96¢, a 22-point gain.
  • This wallet has traded across 159 events, and this market saw a 34x volume spike around the move.

$1,480 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 79%

Linked wallets driving Over

Coordinated linked-wallet Over buying plus a large price move and volume spike make this worth watching, despite the main wallet’s weak lifetime P&L.

  • Six wallets are all buying the same Over side, with two linked by funding and $23.7k placed together.
  • Over moved up 27 percentage points while event volume spiked to 46x its usual pace.
  • This wallet is also spreading $6.7k across related Sweden and totals markets, suggesting a broader game thesis.

$6,675 on Over | Wallet win rate: 53%

Proven winner joins Japan cluster

Surface because a highly profitable 89% win-rate wallet is buying Japan alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • A bettor who wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.45M bought $4.6K of Japan.
  • Three wallets bought $13.5K on the same side during a 39x pre-game volume spike.
  • Japan is now 16¢, below these buyers’ 18–22¢ entries, offering a cheaper copy point.

$13,515 on Japan

88% winner backs Sweden

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% long-term win rate and $3.3M profit bought Sweden at 73¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports/event trader with over 1,000 events traded and $9.45M in tracked volume.
  • The bet backs Sweden at 73¢, meaning Japan must fail to win by 2+ goals.

$1,203 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 88%

88% winner backs Sweden

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% long-term win rate and $3.3M profit bought Sweden at 73¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports/event trader with over 1,000 events traded and $9.45M in tracked volume.
  • The bet backs Sweden at 73¢, meaning Japan must fail to win by 2+ goals.

$2,829 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 88%

88% winner backs Sweden

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% long-term win rate and $3.3M profit bought Sweden at 73¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports/event trader with over 1,000 events traded and $9.45M in tracked volume.
  • The bet backs Sweden at 73¢, meaning Japan must fail to win by 2+ goals.

$1,641 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 88%

88% winner backs Sweden

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% long-term win rate and $3.3M profit bought Sweden at 73¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports/event trader with over 1,000 events traded and $9.45M in tracked volume.
  • The bet backs Sweden at 73¢, meaning Japan must fail to win by 2+ goals.

$1,785 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 88%

Pre-game event-wide steam

Surface due to a large pre-event volume surge and broad cross-market positioning, though the wallet itself has a weak long-term record.

  • Volume in this market spiked over 1,100x versus its usual baseline before the game.
  • This wallet has placed $92k across 9 related markets, suggesting a broader event thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • Sweden is being bought at 72¢, with the market already up 9 points over the past week.

$6,550 on Sweden | Wallet win rate: 48%

89% winner backing Japan spread

Surfacing because this is a proven sharp bettor with an 89% record and $1.43M profit buying Japan -1.5 at 29¢.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.43M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 260 events with the same strong 89% hit rate.
  • Entry at 29¢ implies a ~3.4x payout if Japan win by 2+ goals.

$2,900 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9d12...7954 Outcome 35602732, $50,000 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 35602732, $42,441 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x94d7...bef5 Outcome 35602732, $30,909 (88% win rate)
  4. 0xe734...4f0c Outcome 35602732, $18,000 (46% win rate)
  5. 0xe987...f0e1 Outcome 35602732, $10,000 (99% win rate)
  6. 0xa974...ef79 Outcome 35602732, $10,000 (82% win rate)
  7. 0x16c7...3931 Outcome 35602732, $9,496 (53% win rate)
  8. 0xdf9f...998b Outcome 35602732, $8,466 (82% win rate)
  9. 0x4df3...788f Outcome 35602732, $8,066 (70% win rate)
  10. 0xa940...9cff Outcome 35602732, $7,143

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Timberwolves upset Spurs high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

ResolvedJapan vs. Sweden - More Markets$38,577 tracked9 signalsFIFA World CupSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 25 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Japan" if Japan win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sweden". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Sweden
89¢
80¢
70¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

6d ago

$1,480 on Sweden at 74¢

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

6d ago

$6,675 on Over at 35¢

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

6d ago

$13,515 on Japan at 21¢

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

6d ago

$1,203 on Sweden at 73¢

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

6d ago

$2,829 on Sweden at 73¢

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

6d ago

$1,641 on Sweden at 73¢

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

7d ago

$1,785 on Sweden at 73¢

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

7d ago

$6,550 on Sweden at 72¢

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

7d ago

$2,900 on Japan at 29¢

Related Theses