Part of: Tunisia vs. Japan - More Markets
Spread: Japan (-1.5)
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 21 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Japan" if Japan win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tunisia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
31 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,560,682.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
97% winner joining Japan cluster
Elite 97% winning wallet with major lifetime profit is buying Japan alongside a 10-wallet one-sided flow and a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $2.38M lifetime.
- 10 wallets are all buying Japan, totaling about $97K on the same side.
- Market volume is surging 88x versus its historical pace, with Japan already up 12 points this week.
$21,912 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 97%
92% winner in Japan cluster
A proven 92% winning bettor joined a 7-wallet one-sided Japan move during a major volume spike, and the price has already surged from their 57¢ entry to 82¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $68.9K lifetime.
- Seven wallets bought Japan the same way, totaling $51.9K in one-sided flow.
- Their 57¢ entry has already moved to 82¢ after a 10.5x volume spike.
$2,257 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 92%
97% winner backing Japan
Elite 97% lifetime winner is buying Japan -1.5 into strong one-sided flow and a sharp price move.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up about $1.06M lifetime.
- 13 wallets are buying Japan the same way, totaling about $65.5K in one-sided flow.
- Japan has already moved up 20 points with a major volume spike before the match.
$4,700 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 97%
91% winner joining Japan flow
Sharp 91% win-rate wallet bought Japan amid strong one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and a 20-point price move.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $36.8K lifetime.
- 13 wallets bought the same side for $65.5K, showing broad one-way conviction.
- The market saw an 18.9x volume spike and Japan moved up 20 points recently.
$1,180 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 91%
86% winner backing underdog
A highly profitable 86% lifetime bettor bought Tunisia, backed by a large same-direction wallet cluster, though the market has moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $7.5M lifetime.
- Eight wallets bought the same side, totaling about $605K on Tunisia.
- Tunisia is now around 42¢ versus this bettor’s 64¢ entry, offering a cheaper but momentum-against setup.
$1,853 on Tunisia | Wallet win rate: 86%
New whale joins Tunisia cluster
A repeat new whale put $232k on Tunisia, alongside one-sided cluster flow and a 70x pre-event volume spike.
- A new 18-day-old wallet put $232k on Tunisia and has now been flagged for over $1M in large bets.
- Three wallets are all betting Tunisia the same way, totaling about $245k in one-sided flow.
- Market volume spiked 70x versus its historical average while Tunisia is trading around 60¢.
$571,021 on Tunisia
Sharp bettor joins Japan cluster
Sharp 87% wallet bought Japan at 39¢ alongside heavy one-sided flow, and the market has already moved to 62¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and bought Japan at 39¢ before it moved to 62¢.
- 8 wallets are all betting Japan the same way, totaling over $120K in one-sided flow.
- Market volume spiked 170x above normal, with Japan up 28 points in the past day.
$21,450 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 87%
New whale in 8-wallet rush
High-conviction Japan buy from a 17-hour-old repeat whale alongside an 8-wallet one-sided cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.
- Eight wallets bought the same side, totaling $120.7K on Japan.
- This 17-hour-old wallet has already placed 21 flagged large bets worth $179K.
- The trade entered at 42¢ and the market has already jumped to 62¢.
$6,997 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 50%
Perfect bettor plus 8-wallet wave
Sharp 19-0 wallet bought Japan at 40¢ alongside heavy one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike before the market moved to 62¢.
- This bettor has won 19 of 19 resolved trades and is up $25k lifetime.
- They bought Japan at 40¢ before the market jumped to 62¢.
- 8 wallets put $121k on the same side during a 170x volume spike.
$4,000 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable serial sports trader with $2.1M lifetime P&L is taking Tunisia on the spread as part of a broader $42k same-event position amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 66% of resolved trades and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
- They have traded 7 markets in this same event for $42k, suggesting a broader game thesis.
- Market volume is running 34x above normal, and this trade fades recent Japan momentum at 58¢.
$1,320 on Tunisia | Wallet win rate: 66%
Top Holders
- 0xd66e...051f — Tunisia, $1,265,686
- 0x709e...66f5 — Japan, $685,729 (46% win rate)
- 0x34cb...e9fd — Tunisia, $393,421 (100% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Tunisia, $301,458 (54% win rate)
- 0x4064...f741 — Tunisia, $275,571 (100% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Japan, $275,000 (87% win rate)
- 0x0346...52a5 — Japan, $201,910 (53% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Japan, $180,687 (95% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Tunisia, $174,461 (57% win rate)
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Tunisia, $107,152 (62% win rate)
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