Part of: Tunisia vs. Japan - More Markets

Spread: Japan (-2.5)

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 21 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Japan" if Japan win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tunisia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

17 smart money signals detected, totaling $229,372.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

Serial sports trader momentum

Serial sports trader with a positive 120-bet record bought Japan at 80¢ amid a major volume spike and a 31-point price move upward.

This bettor has won 65% of 120 resolved bets and is up $14,256 lifetime.
Japan has seen a 25x volume spike and a 31-point move upward, suggesting strong market-wide momentum.
Entry at 80¢ has already moved to 86¢, with the trader backing Japan despite the higher price.

$1,000 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable serial bettor cluster

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought Tunisia alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has a long track record: 63% wins across 1,104 resolved bets and about $924K in profit.
Four wallets have all bought Tunisia, totaling about $47.5K in the same direction.
Market activity is surging, with volume running 42x above its historical average before kickoff.

$3,041 on Tunisia | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor is buying Tunisia spread protection as part of a broader 7-market event position during a major pre-game volume surge.

This bettor has won 66% of 1,470 resolved bets and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
They are active across 7 markets in this event with about $30.8K positioned, suggesting a broader match thesis.
Market volume is surging pre-game, with Tunisia bought at 79¢ against current odds near 80¢.

$1,323 on Tunisia | Wallet win rate: 66%

Cross-market Japan momentum

Surfacing as a momentum/cross-market positioning alert: the wallet is building a $69.8k same-match thesis while Japan has surged on a 26x volume spike, though the wallet is not historically profitable.

This wallet has put $69.8k across 6 markets in the same match, pointing to a clear Japan/Under thesis.
Japan has moved up 36 points in 24 hours while market volume is running 26x above normal.
This is a momentum and positioning signal, not a proven sharp-wallet signal; the bettor is roughly break-even to negative long-term.

$4,364 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 53%

Coordinated Japan spread buying

Coordinated one-sided buying and a major volume spike make this worth surfacing despite the lead wallet lacking a strong profit record.

Five wallets bought Japan -2.5 in the same window, totaling $25.8k.
Market volume is almost 48x normal, and Japan’s price is up 39 points in 24 hours.
This wallet is also positioning across 6 related markets with $76.7k in event exposure.

$14,154 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 53%

89% winner backs underdog spread

Surface because a proven 89% winner with $1.3M lifetime profit is the largest bettor in a 5-wallet move backing Tunisia against the spread.

The largest bettor wins 89% of their resolved trades and is up $1.3M lifetime.
Five wallets put $17.6k on Tunisia’s side, mostly by selling Japan at 85–86¢.
Entry around 14¢ is a contrarian bet after Japan’s price jumped 72% today.

$17,556 on Tunisia

Coordinated Japan steam

Surface due to clustered one-sided Japan buying amid a major pre-event volume spike and strong price momentum, though the lead wallet itself lacks a proven P&L edge.

Three wallets bought the same Japan spread side, totaling about $22.9K in one-sided flow.
This market has seen a 33x–50x pre-event volume spike and Japan is up 36 percentage points in the past day.
The main wallet is also active across 6 related markets with $76.6K deployed on this event.

$18,114 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 53%

Coordinated Japan spread buying

Coordinated one-sided buying and a major volume spike make this worth surfacing despite the lead wallet lacking a strong profit record.

Five wallets bought Japan -2.5 in the same window, totaling $25.8k.
Market volume is almost 48x normal, and Japan’s price is up 39 points in 24 hours.
This wallet is also positioning across 6 related markets with $76.7k in event exposure.

$12,374 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 53%

Coordinated Japan spread buying

Coordinated one-sided buying and a major volume spike make this worth surfacing despite the lead wallet lacking a strong profit record.

Five wallets bought Japan -2.5 in the same window, totaling $25.8k.
Market volume is almost 48x normal, and Japan’s price is up 39 points in 24 hours.
This wallet is also positioning across 6 related markets with $76.7k in event exposure.

$14,638 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 53%

Three-wallet Tunisia push

High-composite alert driven by $37k of one-sided Tunisia buying from 3 wallets, a 22x volume spike, and a large trade from a profitable high-volume bettor.