Three wallets bought $36.6K of Japan, with the largest entries still coming in around 90¢. The market saw a 72x volume spike and Japan’s price jumped more than 60 percentage points. This looks like live momentum rather than a proven sharp-wallet signal, since the main wallets have mixed or negative lifetime results.

Part of: Tunisia vs. Japan - More Markets

Spread: Japan (-3.5)

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 21 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Japan" if Japan win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tunisia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $84,788.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster fading Japan

High-score coordinated Tunisia-side cluster includes two very profitable sharp wallets, though the market has moved sharply against their entries.

Two proven bettors with 86% and 89% records backed Tunisia, with about $8.9M in combined lifetime profit.
Four wallets put $34.8K on the same side while market volume spiked 61x.
Risk is unusually high: most entries were near 70–76¢, but Tunisia has since crashed to 6¢.

$34,755 on Tunisia

Japan spread steam

High-volume, coordinated Japan buying moved the spread market sharply from around 30¢ to 91¢, though the wallets’ long-term records are not especially strong.

Three wallets bought $36.6K of Japan, with the largest entries still coming in around 90¢.
The market saw a 72x volume spike and Japan’s price jumped more than 60 percentage points.
This looks like live momentum rather than a proven sharp-wallet signal, since the main wallets have mixed or negative lifetime results.

$36,599 on Japan

86% winner joins Tunisia cluster

A highly profitable 86% win-rate wallet bought Tunisia alongside one-sided cluster flow, though the market has moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $7.5M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market sports trader, active across 329 events with $5.1M in tracked volume.
Five wallets bought the same side for $77K total, but Tunisia has since fallen hard from the trader’s 75¢ entry.

$4,022 on Tunisia | Wallet win rate: 85%

89% winner fading favorite

A highly profitable 89% winner is fading Japan -3.5, with same-side cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the trade despite the market moving against it.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.34M lifetime.
Five wallets have put $77K on the same Tunisia side as volume spiked 72x above normal.
The trade is a fade of Japan -3.5, equivalent to buying Tunisia at 74¢.

$1,364 on Tunisia | Wallet win rate: 87%

Volume spike into Tunisia

A single wallet with poor long-term results made an $8k Tunisia +3.5 bet during a major volume spike, with the market moving sharply in the same direction.

Tunisia saw a sharp rush of money, with volume far above its normal pace and odds up 17 points in a day.
This wallet bought about $8k of Tunisia at 75–76¢, nearly doubling the market’s prior quiet 24h activity.
The bettor’s long-term record is weak, so the signal is more about market momentum than wallet quality.

$8,048 on Tunisia | Wallet win rate: 55%