Part of: Tunisia vs. Japan - More Markets
Spread: Japan (-3.5)
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $84,788.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster fading Japan
High-score coordinated Tunisia-side cluster includes two very profitable sharp wallets, though the market has moved sharply against their entries.
- Two proven bettors with 86% and 89% records backed Tunisia, with about $8.9M in combined lifetime profit.
- Four wallets put $34.8K on the same side while market volume spiked 61x.
- Risk is unusually high: most entries were near 70–76¢, but Tunisia has since crashed to 6¢.
$34,755 on Tunisia
Japan spread steam
High-volume, coordinated Japan buying moved the spread market sharply from around 30¢ to 91¢, though the wallets’ long-term records are not especially strong.
- Three wallets bought $36.6K of Japan, with the largest entries still coming in around 90¢.
- The market saw a 72x volume spike and Japan’s price jumped more than 60 percentage points.
- This looks like live momentum rather than a proven sharp-wallet signal, since the main wallets have mixed or negative lifetime results.
$36,599 on Japan
86% winner joins Tunisia cluster
A highly profitable 86% win-rate wallet bought Tunisia alongside one-sided cluster flow, though the market has moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $7.5M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader, active across 329 events with $5.1M in tracked volume.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $77K total, but Tunisia has since fallen hard from the trader’s 75¢ entry.
$4,022 on Tunisia | Wallet win rate: 86%
89% winner fading favorite
A highly profitable 89% winner is fading Japan -3.5, with same-side cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the trade despite the market moving against it.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.34M lifetime.
- Five wallets have put $77K on the same Tunisia side as volume spiked 72x above normal.
- The trade is a fade of Japan -3.5, equivalent to buying Tunisia at 74¢.
$1,364 on Tunisia | Wallet win rate: 89%
Volume spike into Tunisia
A single wallet with poor long-term results made an $8k Tunisia +3.5 bet during a major volume spike, with the market moving sharply in the same direction.
- Tunisia saw a sharp rush of money, with volume far above its normal pace and odds up 17 points in a day.
- This wallet bought about $8k of Tunisia at 75–76¢, nearly doubling the market’s prior quiet 24h activity.
- The bettor’s long-term record is weak, so the signal is more about market momentum than wallet quality.
$8,048 on Tunisia | Wallet win rate: 54%
Top Holders
- 0x9f5f...c63d — Outcome 17719757, $75,109 (93% win rate)
- 0x55f5...e2a0 — Outcome 17719757, $5,814 (100% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Outcome 17719757, $5,362 (86% win rate)
- 0x5e39...352c — Outcome 17719757, $2,000 (73% win rate)
- 0x0c15...9a45 — Outcome 17719757, $1,724 (44% win rate)
- 0xf7f0...912c — Outcome 17719757, $1,680 (82% win rate)
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 17719757, $916 (71% win rate)
- 0x1d60...453d — Outcome 17719757, $644 (69% win rate)
- 0x99f0...9495 — Outcome 17719757, $543 (49% win rate)
- 0x0a6b...96e1 — Outcome 17719757, $500 (49% win rate)
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