Part of: Lakers vs. Mavericks

Spread: Lakers (-2.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,082.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet repeats

A 3-day-old wallet with perfect early results and nearly $24k profit is making another sizable repeat bet, suggesting strong conviction worth tracking despite the modest ticket size.

  • This 3-day-old wallet is already up $23.9k and has won all 5 resolved bets so far.
  • It has been flagged 26 times with nearly $47k in similar large early trades, showing repeat conviction rather than a one-off punt.
  • The bet is on Mavericks at 53¢, close to even odds, suggesting the trader sees value on the underdog side of the spread.

$2,603 on Mavericks | Wallet win rate: 96%

87% win-rate bettor

A historically elite sports bettor with an 87% win rate and strong edge is taking Mavericks +2.5 at roughly 53¢, making this a worthwhile sharp-follow signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 87% of their resolved trades and is up about $428k over 333 bets.
  • They bought Mavericks +2.5 at 53¢, a price that suggests they see this side as better than a coin flip.
  • The market is liquid and tight, so this looks like a deliberate sharp bet rather than noise from a thin book.

$1,479 on Mavericks | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4df3...788f Outcome 10992817, $1,152 (71% win rate)
  2. 0x37c1...c53a Outcome 10992817, $356 (67% win rate)
  3. 0x6c1d...1f8f Outcome 10992817, $202
  4. 0x0f8c...686f Outcome 10992817, $120
  5. 0x90aa...5f6c Outcome 10992817, $69
  6. 0x475a...86ab Outcome 10992817, $67
  7. 0xeab7...b389 Outcome 10992817, $50
  8. 0x9bd9...084f Outcome 10992817, $25
  9. 0x22b8...8b13 Outcome 10992817, $17
  10. 0xef92...f133 Outcome 10992817, $12

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Spread: Lakers (-2.5)

ResolvedLakers vs. Mavericks$4,082 tracked2 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 5 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Lakers" if the Lakers win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

LAL
50-28
American Airlines Center
DAL
25-53
Draft Kings
Spread: LAL -1.5O/U: 234.5ML: -125/+105
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Lakers (-2.5)

45d ago

$2,603 on Mavericks at 53¢

Spread: Lakers (-2.5)

45d ago

$1,479 on Mavericks at 53¢

Related Theses