Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,647.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

13-wallet funded cluster

A 13-wallet linked cluster hit this spread market before a huge move, and this wallet’s 64¢ entry on Manchester United FC is now marked at 92%.

  • 13 linked wallets share the same funder and have shown up together across prior runs, which is a strong coordinated conviction signal.
  • This wallet bought Manchester United FC at 64¢ and the market is now 92¢ after a rapid 27-point move.
  • The bettor is highly active across 196 markets in 175 events, suggesting a repeatable sports trading process rather than a one-off punt.

$1,718 on Manchester United FC | Wallet win rate: 55%

3-wallet funded cluster

Three same-funded wallets piled nearly $10k into Manchester United on a thin spread market, and one wallet in the group has a strong 78% win rate across 183 resolved bets.

  • Three linked wallets bought the same side within minutes, totaling nearly $9.8k of one-sided flow.
  • One wallet in the cluster wins 78% of bets across 183 resolved markets, suggesting this is more than random action.
  • The market is fairly thin for this size, so this buying likely reflects real conviction rather than routine volume.

$9,759 on Manchester United FC

78% win-rate sports bettor

A proven profitable sports trader with a 78% win rate bought Manchester United +2.5 in a relatively thin spread market after a sharp move, suggesting a thesis worth following despite the small size.

  • This bettor wins 78% of their resolved trades across 183 bets and has traded nearly $156k across 90 events
  • They bought Manchester United +2.5 after a fast 27-point move in this market, showing a clear view on the spread
  • The market is still fairly thin with a wide 20-point spread, so a $1.2k buy can reflect real conviction

$1,171 on Manchester United FC | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 56701695, $4,048 (54% win rate)
  2. 0x4eb6...9ce6 Outcome 56701695, $58
  3. 0xd443...5f71 Outcome 56701695, $23
  4. 0x57c8...3d9b Outcome 56701695, $10
  5. 0x9b4a...e2bf Outcome 56701695, $8
  6. 0x2e73...3f4e Outcome 56701695, $7
  7. 0x46b3...d3de Outcome 56701695, $5
  8. 0x50b9...4298 Outcome 56701695, $5
  9. 0x397e...3d84 Outcome 56701695, $5 (71% win rate)
  10. 0xf3f7...8c35 Outcome 56701695, $2

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)

Resolved$12,647 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL

In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for April 13 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Leeds United FC" if Leeds United FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Manchester United FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)

6d ago

$1,718 on Manchester United FC at 64¢

Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)

6d ago

$9,759 on Manchester United FC at 64¢

Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)

6d ago

$1,171 on Manchester United FC at 82¢

Related Theses