Part of: Raiders vs. Texans

Spread: LV (-1.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,638.

Categories: Games, Sports, NFL

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor adds to LV

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with 5,800 resolved trades and $1.16M in lifetime profit is adding to an existing LV position, though the market itself is liquid and near-evenly priced.

  • This bettor wins 72% of 5,800 resolved trades and is up $1.16 million lifetime.
  • The wallet is adding $2,612 to an existing LV position worth over $13,000, signaling continued conviction.
  • LV is priced at 50¢ with a tight 50¢–51¢ market, so the edge comes primarily from the bettor’s track record rather than a thin order book.

$4,892 on LV | Wallet win rate: 73%

Proven sharp backing LV

A highly experienced bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $2,000 bet on LV at even odds.

  • This bettor wins 77% of 356 resolved trades and is up $381,179 lifetime.
  • Their average win price is just 43%, indicating a meaningful edge beyond simply backing favorites.
  • The fresh $2,000 LV position comes at 50¢ in a liquid NFL market, with a 104-event cross-market track record.

$2,000 on LV | Wallet win rate: 77%

94% winner backs LV

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and $3.8M profit made a fresh $12.7K bet on LV at near-even odds.

  • This bettor has won 456 of 487 resolved trades, with $3.82M in lifetime profit.
  • The $12,746 LV purchase is over 14 times the market’s recent 24-hour volume.
  • The bet was placed at 49¢, implying the bettor sees meaningful value near a 50-50 market.

$12,746 on LV | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 50441287, $38,919 (60% win rate)
  2. 0x15a6...bf5d Outcome 50441287, $15,590 (50% win rate)
  3. 0xf68a...5b1b Outcome 50441287, $10,000 (53% win rate)
  4. 0xdb83...1e50 Outcome 50441287, $9,822 (64% win rate)
  5. 0xf1ef...8cd6 Outcome 50441287, $8,000 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x885f...8ed9 Outcome 50441287, $3,505
  7. 0xb525...bdc7 Outcome 50441287, $1,065 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 50441287, $682
  9. 0xfb0c...8c72 Outcome 50441287, $300 (77% win rate)
  10. 0x0936...fb00 Outcome 50441287, $285

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Spread: LV (-1.5)

ResolvedRaiders vs. Texans$19,638 tracked3 signalsGamesSportsNFL

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 20 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "LV" if the LV win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "HOU". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “HOU
94¢
72¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: LV (-1.5)

3d ago

$4,892 on LV at 50¢

Spread: LV (-1.5)

3d ago

$2,000 on LV at 50¢

Spread: LV (-1.5)

3d ago

$12,746 on LV at 49¢

Related Theses