Part of: Magic vs. Pelicans

Spread: Magic (-3.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,175.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

74% win-rate spread bettor

A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 74% win rate sold Magic spread shares, which translates into a buyable Pelicans position at roughly 59¢.

  • This bettor has won 200 of 272 resolved markets and is up about $174k overall.
  • The trade was large at $9.2k and pushed Magic down fast, showing real conviction rather than a small rebalance.
  • Selling Magic at 41¢ is equivalent to buying Pelicans around 59¢ in this binary spread market.

$9,228 on Pelicans | Wallet win rate: 49%

74% winner in volume surge

A high-volume serial sports trader with a strong 74% win rate bought Magic -3.5 into a massive pre-game volume spike, suggesting informed conviction worth following.

  • This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up $174k across 272 bets.
  • They bought Magic at 65¢ while this market saw a 491x volume spike before the game.
  • The price has already moved from 65¢ to 68¢, showing immediate follow-through.

$4,947 on Magic | Wallet win rate: 49%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4df3...788f Outcome 18284739, $6,182 (71% win rate)
  2. 0x32ed...f960 Outcome 18284739, $3,890 (69% win rate)
  3. 0x708a...a0d8 Outcome 18284739, $2,228 (91% win rate)
  4. 0x78bb...591f Outcome 18284739, $2,023 (95% win rate)
  5. 0xea48...c596 Outcome 18284739, $1,050
  6. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 18284739, $820 (64% win rate)
  7. 0x9c76...c926 Outcome 18284739, $500 (89% win rate)
  8. 0x06ff...8d60 Outcome 18284739, $480
  9. 0x8afa...28f0 Outcome 18284739, $178
  10. 0xa85b...eb0e Outcome 18284739, $167 (89% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Magic (-3.5)

ResolvedMagic vs. Pelicans$14,175 tracked2 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 5 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Magic" if the Magic win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

ORL
42-36
Smoothie King Center
NOP
25-54
Draft Kings
Spread: ORL -6.5O/U: 236.5ML: -250/+205
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Magic (-3.5)

46d ago

$9,228 on Pelicans at 59¢

Spread: Magic (-3.5)

46d ago

$4,947 on Magic at 65¢

Related Theses