This bettor has won 38 of 39 resolved positions and is up $38.9K lifetime. They are buying Manchester City -1.5 at 55¢, implying confidence in a multi-goal win. The wallet’s average winning entry was around 50¢, so this is the kind of fairly priced bet they have historically beaten.

Part of: Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC - More Markets

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,748.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

Profitable sports whale

Despite a weak automated signal, this is a highly profitable sports bettor adding $4.1k to Manchester City -1.5 at 46¢.

This bettor wins 68% of resolved trades and is up about $969k lifetime.
They put $4.1k on Manchester City -1.5 at 46¢ after the price fell 12 points today.
Entry at 46¢ implies they see this as a better-than-even spread spot.

$4,136 on Manchester City FC | Wallet win rate: 63%

$969K winner buying spread

Despite the weak alert score, this is a highly profitable sports bettor with a large resolved sample buying Manchester City -1.5 at 46¢.

This bettor is up $969K across 531 resolved trades, a strong long-term sports betting record.
They are buying Manchester City -1.5 at 46¢, implying a near even-money view on a 2+ goal win.
The wallet has been flagged 24 times before, suggesting this is a repeat high-volume bettor rather than a one-off trade.

$2,756 on Manchester City FC | Wallet win rate: 63%

$12M winner-led cluster

Three wallets, including a highly profitable $11.9M lifetime bettor, coordinated $9.7k of buys on Aston Villa +1.5 with two linked by funding.

The lead bettor has won 71% of 8,331 resolved bets and is up $11.9M lifetime.
Three wallets bought the same side for $9.7k within seconds, with two sharing a funder.
Entry around 51¢ implies they see value in Aston Villa staying within one goal or better.

$9,704 on Aston Villa FC

Profitable 78% sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with a 78% resolved win rate and nearly $40k profit bought Aston Villa +1.5 at 45¢ despite only a modest alert score.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $40k lifetime.
They bought Aston Villa +1.5 at 45¢, implying a little over 2x payout if Manchester City fail to win by 2+ goals.
The market is liquid, so the main signal is the wallet’s proven track record rather than order-book pressure.

$1,736 on Aston Villa FC | Wallet win rate: 79%

97% sports sharp

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 97% record and strong positive P&L bought Manchester City -1.5 at 55¢.

This bettor has won 38 of 39 resolved positions and is up $38.9K lifetime.
They are buying Manchester City -1.5 at 55¢, implying confidence in a multi-goal win.
The wallet’s average winning entry was around 50¢, so this is the kind of fairly priced bet they have historically beaten.

$2,270 on Manchester City FC | Wallet win rate: 98%

94% winner backing underdog spread

Elite tracked wallet with a 94% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Aston Villa +1.5 against recent Manchester City momentum.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $328k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market sports trader with 116 events tracked and a 94% hit rate.
Entry at 43¢ backs Aston Villa +1.5 after Manchester City moved up 17 points this week.

$1,204 on Aston Villa FC | Wallet win rate: 55%

87% sharp sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $2.56M lifetime profit is buying Manchester City -1.5 at 58¢.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $2.56M lifetime.
They are a proven sports-market regular, active across 719 events with the same 87% win rate.
They bought Manchester City -1.5 at 58¢ after a 17.5-point weekly move toward City.

$3,461 on Manchester City FC | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable sports whale

Despite a very weak detection score, the wallet has a large profitable history and is taking a fresh contrarian position on Aston Villa +1.5.

This bettor is up $5.8M lifetime across more than 1,100 resolved trades.
They bought $6.5K of Aston Villa +1.5 at 46¢ against recent Manchester City momentum.
Entry at 46¢ implies a potential 2.2x payout if City fail to win by 2+ goals.

$6,479 on Aston Villa FC | Wallet win rate: 58%

99% winner buying spread

Elite sharp wallet with a 99% resolved win rate and $13.6M profit is buying Manchester City -1.5, reinforced by a long cross-market track record.

This bettor has won 99% of 1,058 resolved bets and is up $13.6M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 52 events with a near-perfect track record.
Entry around 54¢ suggests they see Manchester City winning by 2+ as underpriced.

$1,001 on Manchester City FC | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 55490434, $48,006 (99% win rate)
0x9770...0ff5 — Outcome 55490434, $17,000 (63% win rate)
0x7236...ea53 — Outcome 55490434, $6,400 (88% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 55490434, $2,212 (55% win rate)
0x4658...4131 — Outcome 55490434, $787 (85% win rate)
0x6e48...f025 — Outcome 55490434, $580
0xc34b...9296 — Outcome 55490434, $559 (95% win rate)
0xb2e1...f4f9 — Outcome 55490434, $487
0x325f...4511 — Outcome 55490434, $441 (65% win rate)
0x03ba...beba — Outcome 55490434, $359

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Timberwolves upset Spurs high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

ResolvedManchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC - More Markets$32,748 tracked9 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL

In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for May 24 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aston Villa FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.