Part of: Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC - More Markets

Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $56,259.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

Serial timer with $2.6M profit

A highly profitable serial timer with a strong long-run record bought nearly $29.4k of Manchester United -1.5 just 3.6 minutes before resolution during a massive market volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up $2.6M lifetime on $25.2M invested.
  • They repeatedly bet right before markets end — 56 near-resolution bets across 37 markets with a reported edge over the odds.
  • They bought $29.4k of Manchester United at 34¢ during a 688x volume spike, suggesting strong conviction late in the match.

$29,406 on Manchester United FC | Wallet win rate: 50%

94% win-rate sports bettor

A bettor with an exceptional 94% win rate and strong lifetime profits bought Leeds +1.5 at 63¢, making this a sharp sports trade worth following despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up about $142k lifetime.
  • They bought Leeds +1.5 at 63¢, meaning Manchester United must win by 2+ goals to beat this position.
  • The market is liquid and active, so this looks like a deliberate sharp bet rather than a random punt.

$989 on Leeds United FC | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable new whale returns

A 15-day-old wallet with unusually large repeat betting activity and strong early profits just put another $10.4k into Manchester United -1.5 at 38¢, making this a notable conviction follow despite only one primary signal.

  • This 15-day-old wallet has already been flagged 69 times and shows $158.9k profit on $352.6k invested
  • It just bought $10.4k of Manchester United -1.5 at 38¢, a price that implies a strong edge on a 2-goal win
  • The wallet is 3 for 3 on resolved bets so far, which adds support to the early profit signal

$10,442 on Manchester United FC | Wallet win rate: 100%

80% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 80% win rate bought Leeds +1.5 at 62¢, making this a credible sharp sports position worth following despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $2.84M lifetime across 1,190 bets
  • They trade across 145 events and 152 markets, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
  • Buying Leeds at 62¢ means backing Manchester United not to win by 2 or more goals at a modest price

$3,488 on Leeds United FC | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp cluster on Leeds

Three wallets piled into Leeds +1.5 at 62¢ during a huge pre-match volume spike, led by one very strong bettor with a 66% win rate over 6,650 resolved markets.

  • A bettor with a 66% win rate across 6,650 resolved bets led this move and is up $1.9M lifetime
  • Three wallets put nearly $12k on Leeds +1.5 at 62¢ within seconds of each other
  • Market volume jumped 281x above normal, suggesting real pre-match positioning rather than random flow

$11,934 on Leeds United FC

Top Holders

  1. 0x85f0...3f67 Outcome 37675279, $54,727 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x80e4...a6d4 Outcome 37675279, $3,696
  3. 0xb272...ee5a Outcome 37675279, $1,512 (26% win rate)
  4. 0x4844...32c9 Outcome 37675279, $629 (99% win rate)
  5. 0xb503...7552 Outcome 37675279, $413
  6. 0x834b...52d1 Outcome 37675279, $308 (67% win rate)
  7. 0xa9eb...aee9 Outcome 37675279, $298
  8. 0xcf45...c794 Outcome 37675279, $296
  9. 0x772f...a69f Outcome 37675279, $288
  10. 0x2160...bcb3 Outcome 37675279, $283

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)

ResolvedManchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC - More Markets$56,259 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL

In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for April 13 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester United FC" if Manchester United FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Leeds United FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)

44d ago

$29,406 on Manchester United FC at 34¢

Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)

45d ago

$989 on Leeds United FC at 63¢

Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)

45d ago

$10,442 on Manchester United FC at 38¢

Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)

45d ago

$3,488 on Leeds United FC at 62¢

Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)

45d ago

$11,934 on Leeds United FC at 62¢

Related Theses