Part of: Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

23 smart money signals detected, totaling $119,168.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Mexico -1.5 before a sharp move from 83¢ to 100¢, supported by event-wide positioning and a large volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $60.7k lifetime across 198 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 68 related sports events and are betting across 3 markets in this event.
  • The entry at 83¢ has already moved to 100¢, so this looks like a well-timed position.

$4,168 on Mexico | Wallet win rate: 67%

Momentum cluster buying favorite

Surface as a momentum/live-flow alert rather than a clean sharp-wallet signal: Mexico was bought aggressively through a 30-point move, but opposing Ecuador flow and mixed wallet records reduce copy confidence.

  • Four wallets bought $28.9K of Mexico as the price jumped from around 39¢ to 72¢.
  • The market is seeing a 20x volume spike and Mexico is up 53 points over the last day.
  • Copy signal is mixed because a larger group also bought Ecuador and the main Mexico wallets do not have strong lifetime records.

$28,868 on Mexico

Profitable trader fading Mexico

High-score alert with 10 wallets leaning Ecuador, a profitable serial cross-market trader, and a major same-day price move, though this specific wallet may be taking profit on Mexico.

  • A bettor up $482K lifetime is selling Mexico after entering around 51¢ and exiting at 72¢.
  • 10 wallets are leaning the same way, equivalent to buying Ecuador, with about $55K total flow.
  • Mexico’s price jumped 53 points today, making this a notable fade of a fast-moving favorite.

$1,937 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable serial trader on Mexico

Profitable high-volume trader made a sizable Mexico buy amid a major pre-game volume and price surge, though broader clustered flow is partly on Ecuador.

  • This high-volume trader is up $227k across 478 resolved markets.
  • They bought Mexico for $4.8k at 86¢ during a 20x pre-game volume spike.
  • Mexico has surged 53 points in 24h, while a 10-wallet cluster is taking the other side on Ecuador.

$5,938 on Mexico | Wallet win rate: 58%

Profitable serial trader cluster

High-score alert with a profitable serial cross-market trader joining a 10-wallet Ecuador buy cluster, though the price has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 3,727 resolved bets and is up about $184k lifetime.
  • 10 wallets bought the same Ecuador side, totaling nearly $55k in one-sided flow.
  • They bought Ecuador at 46¢, while it now trades near 28¢ after a sharp move against them.

$1,965 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 72%

Elite sports sharp

Elite profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.1M lifetime profit bought Ecuador on the Mexico -1.5 spread amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $1.1M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 438 events, with the same 94% hit rate.
  • Market volume is surging 35x above normal before the match, supporting the move toward Ecuador.

$1,382 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 94%

91% sports sharp

Sharp sports bettor with a 91% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought $10k of Ecuador on a high-volume pre-event spike.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $149k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $416k deployed across 44 events.
  • A $10k buy backs Ecuador at 83¢ as pre-game volume spikes nearly 100x.

$10,000 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 91%

Elite 88% sports bettor

Elite sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $3.3M lifetime profit bought Ecuador on the spread, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest sizing.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved positions and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with over $10M deployed across 1,292 markets.
  • Buying Ecuador at 81¢ suggests a high-confidence view that Mexico will not win by 2+ goals.

$1,483 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 88%

88% winner backs cover

Elite 88% winner with $3.3M lifetime profit bought $3.4K of Ecuador against the Mexico -1.5 spread.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved positions and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 1,283 markets with an 88% record.
  • They bought $3.4K of Ecuador at 81¢, betting Mexico will not win by 2+ goals.

$2,889 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 88%

Elite 88% sports bettor

Elite sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $3.3M lifetime profit bought Ecuador on the spread, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest sizing.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved positions and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with over $10M deployed across 1,292 markets.
  • Buying Ecuador at 81¢ suggests a high-confidence view that Mexico will not win by 2+ goals.

$1,405 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 50216533, $316,873 (51% win rate)
  2. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 50216533, $52,920 (64% win rate)
  3. 0xb225...3d54 Outcome 50216533, $18,000 (83% win rate)
  4. 0xa080...234f Outcome 50216533, $17,906 (46% win rate)
  5. 0x224a...a3d5 Outcome 50216533, $14,791 (62% win rate)
  6. 0x635c...45c6 Outcome 50216533, $12,076 (91% win rate)
  7. 0x9897...6b8e Outcome 50216533, $9,700
  8. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 50216533, $9,491 (61% win rate)
  9. 0x8a79...b1a8 Outcome 50216533, $7,143 (77% win rate)
  10. 0xc78e...4718 Outcome 50216533, $7,000 (47% win rate)

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Austria routs Argentina after halftime

Covers 9 related markets

Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless

Covers 10 related markets

Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet

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Ecuador wins big to nil

Covers 7 related markets

Tunisia beats Japan 3-0

Covers 9 related markets

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

ResolvedMexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets$119,168 tracked23 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mexico" if Mexico win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ecuador". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Mexico
101¢
59¢
17¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$4,168 on Mexico at 83¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$28,868 on Mexico at 72¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$1,937 on Ecuador at 28¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$5,938 on Mexico at 86¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$1,965 on Ecuador at 46¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$1,382 on Ecuador at 76¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$10,000 on Ecuador at 83¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$1,483 on Ecuador at 81¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$2,889 on Ecuador at 81¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$1,405 on Ecuador at 81¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$1,750 on Mexico at 19¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$6,635 on Ecuador at 81¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$1,333 on Mexico at 20¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$2,000 on Mexico at 20¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$5,526 on Ecuador at 81¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$9,000 on Mexico at 20¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$1,255 on Ecuador at 80¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$3,982 on Ecuador at 81¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$5,430 on Ecuador at 81¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$7,289 on Ecuador at 81¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$9,664 on Ecuador at 81¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

1d ago

$1,837 on Ecuador at 81¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

2d ago

$3,430 on Ecuador at 81¢

Related Theses