Part of: Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)
23 smart money signals detected, totaling $119,168.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Mexico -1.5 before a sharp move from 83¢ to 100¢, supported by event-wide positioning and a large volume spike.
- This bettor is up $60.7k lifetime across 198 resolved markets.
- They have traded 68 related sports events and are betting across 3 markets in this event.
- The entry at 83¢ has already moved to 100¢, so this looks like a well-timed position.
$4,168 on Mexico | Wallet win rate: 67%
Momentum cluster buying favorite
Surface as a momentum/live-flow alert rather than a clean sharp-wallet signal: Mexico was bought aggressively through a 30-point move, but opposing Ecuador flow and mixed wallet records reduce copy confidence.
- Four wallets bought $28.9K of Mexico as the price jumped from around 39¢ to 72¢.
- The market is seeing a 20x volume spike and Mexico is up 53 points over the last day.
- Copy signal is mixed because a larger group also bought Ecuador and the main Mexico wallets do not have strong lifetime records.
$28,868 on Mexico
Profitable trader fading Mexico
High-score alert with 10 wallets leaning Ecuador, a profitable serial cross-market trader, and a major same-day price move, though this specific wallet may be taking profit on Mexico.
- A bettor up $482K lifetime is selling Mexico after entering around 51¢ and exiting at 72¢.
- 10 wallets are leaning the same way, equivalent to buying Ecuador, with about $55K total flow.
- Mexico’s price jumped 53 points today, making this a notable fade of a fast-moving favorite.
$1,937 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 61%
Profitable serial trader on Mexico
Profitable high-volume trader made a sizable Mexico buy amid a major pre-game volume and price surge, though broader clustered flow is partly on Ecuador.
- This high-volume trader is up $227k across 478 resolved markets.
- They bought Mexico for $4.8k at 86¢ during a 20x pre-game volume spike.
- Mexico has surged 53 points in 24h, while a 10-wallet cluster is taking the other side on Ecuador.
$5,938 on Mexico | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial trader cluster
High-score alert with a profitable serial cross-market trader joining a 10-wallet Ecuador buy cluster, though the price has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has won 72% of 3,727 resolved bets and is up about $184k lifetime.
- 10 wallets bought the same Ecuador side, totaling nearly $55k in one-sided flow.
- They bought Ecuador at 46¢, while it now trades near 28¢ after a sharp move against them.
$1,965 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 72%
Elite sports sharp
Elite profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.1M lifetime profit bought Ecuador on the Mexico -1.5 spread amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $1.1M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 438 events, with the same 94% hit rate.
- Market volume is surging 35x above normal before the match, supporting the move toward Ecuador.
$1,382 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 94%
91% sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 91% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought $10k of Ecuador on a high-volume pre-event spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $149k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $416k deployed across 44 events.
- A $10k buy backs Ecuador at 83¢ as pre-game volume spikes nearly 100x.
$10,000 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 91%
Elite 88% sports bettor
Elite sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $3.3M lifetime profit bought Ecuador on the spread, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest sizing.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved positions and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with over $10M deployed across 1,292 markets.
- Buying Ecuador at 81¢ suggests a high-confidence view that Mexico will not win by 2+ goals.
$1,483 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 88%
88% winner backs cover
Elite 88% winner with $3.3M lifetime profit bought $3.4K of Ecuador against the Mexico -1.5 spread.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved positions and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 1,283 markets with an 88% record.
- They bought $3.4K of Ecuador at 81¢, betting Mexico will not win by 2+ goals.
$2,889 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 88%
Elite 88% sports bettor
Elite sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $3.3M lifetime profit bought Ecuador on the spread, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest sizing.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved positions and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with over $10M deployed across 1,292 markets.
- Buying Ecuador at 81¢ suggests a high-confidence view that Mexico will not win by 2+ goals.
$1,405 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 50216533, $316,873 (51% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 50216533, $52,920 (64% win rate)
- 0xb225...3d54 — Outcome 50216533, $18,000 (83% win rate)
- 0xa080...234f — Outcome 50216533, $17,906 (46% win rate)
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 50216533, $14,791 (62% win rate)
- 0x635c...45c6 — Outcome 50216533, $12,076 (91% win rate)
- 0x9897...6b8e — Outcome 50216533, $9,700
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 50216533, $9,491 (61% win rate)
- 0x8a79...b1a8 — Outcome 50216533, $7,143 (77% win rate)
- 0xc78e...4718 — Outcome 50216533, $7,000 (47% win rate)
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