Part of: Mexico vs. Korea Republic - More Markets

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $53,872.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

New whale backing underdog cover

A 1.5-day-old repeat whale is buying Korea Republic for $24.6k amid a major pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh high-conviction positioning despite limited track record.

  • A brand-new wallet put $24.6k on Korea Republic and has already flagged 10 times for $143k in bets.
  • The wallet is slightly profitable so far, up $655 across 7 resolved positions.
  • Market activity is surging, with volume running 61x above its historical average.

$24,647 on Korea Republic | Wallet win rate: 55%

Elite serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 87% resolved win rate bought Korea Republic on the Mexico -1.5 spread.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $705K lifetime.
  • They are a prolific cross-market trader, with $743K tracked across 195 events.
  • Buying Korea Republic at 78¢ means they are backing Mexico not to win by 2+ goals.

$1,985 on Korea Republic | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp bettor fading Mexico spread

Surfaced via sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 84% resolved win rate and $309k profit despite only a weak new-wallet signal.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $309k lifetime.
  • They sold $13.2k of Mexico -1.5, effectively backing Korea Republic to cover at 78¢.
  • The wallet has been flagged 5 times before and has put over $1.1M to work.

$13,240 on Korea Republic | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp sports bettor buying Mexico

Sharp sports bettor with an 84% resolved win rate and $309k profit bought $14k of Mexico -1.5 at 23¢ despite only a weak alert signal.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $309k lifetime.
  • They put $14k on Mexico to win by 2+ goals at 23¢.
  • The wallet has been flagged 5 times before, suggesting repeated large-conviction betting.

$14,000 on Mexico | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0x23d8...0288 Outcome 17423939, $75,000 (82% win rate)
  2. 0x7d2f...ef1a Outcome 17423939, $40,000 (58% win rate)
  3. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 17423939, $19,678 (74% win rate)
  4. 0x26b4...b8a9 Outcome 17423939, $11,111 (62% win rate)
  5. 0xb10b...0b04 Outcome 17423939, $8,888 (85% win rate)
  6. 0xe5f0...dc1d Outcome 17423939, $7,707 (28% win rate)
  7. 0xdee3...6fe5 Outcome 17423939, $6,600 (69% win rate)
  8. 0x68cb...6f57 Outcome 17423939, $4,200 (47% win rate)
  9. 0xf182...6225 Outcome 17423939, $3,299 (63% win rate)
  10. 0x629d...756c Outcome 17423939, $2,941

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Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

ResolvedMexico vs. Korea Republic - More Markets$53,872 tracked4 signalsFIFA World CupSoccerGamesSports

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 18 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mexico" if Mexico win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Korea Republic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

85d ago

$24,647 on Korea Republic at 73¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

85d ago

$1,985 on Korea Republic at 78¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

86d ago

$13,240 on Korea Republic at 78¢

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

86d ago

$14,000 on Mexico at 23¢

Related Theses