Part of: Mexico vs. South Africa - More Markets
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $71,148.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Coordinated South Africa steam
High-scoring coordinated South Africa flow with a 66x volume spike, major price move against Mexico, and several historically profitable high-volume wallets on the same side.
- Five wallets put $37.6k on South Africa, including a $26k+ buyer up $2.1M lifetime.
- The market saw a 66x volume spike while Mexico’s spread price dropped about 22 points.
- South Africa is now 57¢, close to the cluster’s average entry, so the copy price has not run far past the main flow.
$37,640 on South Africa
Profitable bettors backing Mexico
Profitable high-volume sports wallets are buying Mexico amid a major volume spike and strong price momentum, though there is also notable opposing flow.
- Four wallets bought $18.5K of Mexico, including one bettor up $739K lifetime with a 63% record.
- Mexico has surged 24.5 points today while market volume is running 59x above normal.
- Two high-volume bettors in this cluster are up over $5.8M combined lifetime.
$18,537 on Mexico
70% serial sports bettor
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is backing South Africa +2.5 amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 70% of 3,321 resolved bets and is up $2.65M lifetime.
- They are active across 3 markets in this same game with $15.1K positioned, suggesting a broader match thesis.
- Market volume is running 125x above its historical average, and South Africa moved from 73¢ to 76¢ after the entry.
$1,900 on South Africa | Wallet win rate: 68%
Profitable 4-wallet sports cluster
High-scoring cluster of four wallets, including large profitable serial sports traders, is buying South Africa against the Mexico -2.5 spread amid an 85x pre-event volume spike.
- Four wallets bought $12K of South Africa on the spread, all in the same direction.
- Two major bettors in the cluster are strongly profitable, including one up $2.65M with a 70% hit rate.
- Market volume spiked 85x before the match, suggesting a wave of positioning on South Africa +2.5.
$12,015 on South Africa
87% winner buying underdog spread
Sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $659k lifetime profit bought Mexico -2.5 at 19¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $659k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader, active across 180 events with strong results.
- Entry at 19¢ implies they see Mexico -2.5 as a high-upside mispricing.
$1,055 on Mexico | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0x2b3f...3446 — Outcome 10036548, $66,686 (64% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10036548, $51,317 (63% win rate)
- 0x86e9...4cdf — Outcome 10036548, $5,684 (92% win rate)
- 0xb10b...0b04 — Outcome 10036548, $5,555 (84% win rate)
- 0x8edd...74d2 — Outcome 10036548, $5,204 (73% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 10036548, $5,195 (78% win rate)
- 0x06a9...1a49 — Outcome 10036548, $2,770 (68% win rate)
- 0x3daf...19eb — Outcome 10036548, $1,884
- 0x815f...1eef — Outcome 10036548, $1,615 (88% win rate)
- 0xc9b7...7984 — Outcome 10036548, $1,159 (52% win rate)
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