Part of: Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $74,642.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Serial sports bettor hit spread
Serial cross-market sports bettor with a 65% long-run record bought Ecuador before the spread market moved to 100%.
- This bettor has won 65% of 927 resolved bets and is up $19.4K lifetime.
- They have traded across 101 events, suggesting a repeat sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
- Ecuador moved from their 88¢ entry to 100¢, confirming the market quickly agreed with the position.
$1,118 on Ecuador | Wallet win rate: 65%
One-sided pre-game soccer flow
Surface as coordinated pre-game flow: multiple wallets bought Mexico -2.5 into a major volume spike and 30-point daily move, though this specific wallet has poor long-term results.
- Five wallets bought Mexico -2.5 in the same window, totaling about $11.5k.
- Market activity spiked nearly 94x above its historical average, with Mexico up 30 points over the past day.
- Entry at 38¢ implies a roughly 2.6x payout if Mexico wins by 3+ goals.
$11,732 on Mexico | Wallet win rate: 46%
5-wallet Mexico surge
High composite alert driven by coordinated Mexico buying across 5 wallets, repeated volume spikes, and strong 1-day price momentum, despite the highlighted wallet lacking a strong profit record.
- Five wallets are all buying Mexico in the same direction, totaling about $11.5K.
- Market volume spiked more than 12x in multiple scans while Mexico’s price is up 30 points today.
- This is a momentum-and-flow signal, not a proven sharp-wallet signal; the main wallet has a large but unprofitable history.
$11,110 on Mexico | Wallet win rate: 53%
$51K one-sided cluster
A $50.7k three-wallet one-sided buy cluster hit Ecuador alongside a 13x pre-event volume spike and major price momentum, though the wallets do not show strong historical profitability.
- Three wallets bought $50.7k of the same side in a tight window.
- Volume is running 13x above normal, with the market moving sharply over the past day.
- This is a flow-and-momentum signal rather than a proven sharp-wallet bet.
$50,682 on Ecuador
Top Holders
- 0x0cc0...5765 — Outcome 90343297, $50,096 (74% win rate)
- 0x06f2...1269 — Outcome 90343297, $31,605 (54% win rate)
- 0xd0e1...99db — Outcome 90343297, $13,068 (86% win rate)
- 0xae00...f8f4 — Outcome 90343297, $10,000 (85% win rate)
- 0x57ef...044a — Outcome 90343297, $10,000 (89% win rate)
- 0xf93f...f94b — Outcome 90343297, $9,274 (72% win rate)
- 0xd1ed...d7cb — Outcome 90343297, $7,760 (55% win rate)
- 0x82ba...afea — Outcome 90343297, $2,818 (85% win rate)
- 0x0484...e0ee — Outcome 90343297, $2,600 (58% win rate)
- 0xc3db...0f98 — Outcome 90343297, $2,365 (63% win rate)
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