Part of: Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins

Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for May 13 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game by 5 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,218.

Categories: baseball, Sports, Games, MLB

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Miami -4.5 at 48¢ on a quiet market, and the price has already moved to 58¢.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 67% wins across 1,450 resolved bets and about $250k in profit.
  • They bought Miami -4.5 at 48¢, and the market has already moved to 58¢.
  • The $3k bet was huge versus activity at the time, suggesting strong conviction in a quiet spread market.

$3,020 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable sports whale in quiet book

Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Miami -4.5 in an extremely quiet market, with the bet dwarfing recent volume and already moving in their favor.

  • This bettor is up $381k lifetime across more than 42k resolved bets.
  • They bought $1.2k in a market with only $45 of 24h volume, a very large bet for this book.
  • Entry was 34¢ and the market is now around 38¢, suggesting early confirmation.

$1,197 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 55%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Minnesota Twins, $6,646 (73% win rate)
  2. 0xbca0...9705 Miami Marlins, $6,316 (67% win rate)
  3. 0x5268...135d Minnesota Twins, $5,936 (52% win rate)
  4. 0x204f...5e14 Miami Marlins, $4,717 (55% win rate)
  5. 0x2f4e...1fb8 Miami Marlins, $2,712
  6. 0x433c...81ea Minnesota Twins, $1,013
  7. 0xc0c2...b14d Minnesota Twins, $197
  8. 0x2b15...fa73 Miami Marlins, $158 (95% win rate)
  9. 0xfcf3...f535 Miami Marlins, $137
  10. 0xa6a7...e5d4 Miami Marlins, $128

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)

ResolvedMiami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins$4,218 tracked2 signalsbaseballSportsGamesMLB
Miami Marlins
0¢
Minnesota Twins
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for May 13 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game by 5 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

MIA
9
20-23
Final
MIN
5
19-24
MIA -130MIN +108O/U 8.5Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Target Field, Minneapolis
Attendance
14,005
Price History — “Minnesota Twins
102¢
71¢
40¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)

1h ago

$3,020 on Miami Marlins at 48¢

48¢0¢48¢

Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)

2h ago

$1,197 on Miami Marlins at 34¢

34¢0¢34¢

Related Theses