Part of: Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $89,032.

Categories: Sports, Basketball, NCAA, Games, NCAA Basketball, March Madness

Notable Trades

73% win-rate sports bettor

A high-volume, historically profitable sports trader with a 73% win rate sold Arizona at 53¢, equivalent to buying Michigan -1.5 at 47¢, and the trade also coincided with a sharp short-term price move.

  • This bettor has won 199 of 271 resolved markets and is up about $174k overall.
  • The trade effectively buys Michigan -1.5 at 47¢ after selling Arizona at 53¢.
  • The market moved fast around this order, with Arizona dropping 15.5 points in 4 minutes.

$4,774 on Michigan Wolverines | Wallet win rate: 74%

Pro sports sharp buying Michigan

A highly profitable high-volume sports trader with a 71% win rate just bought nearly $20k of Michigan into a heavy pregame volume surge, making this a credible signal despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 766 of 1,082 resolved trades and is up $5.6M overall.
  • They put nearly $20k on Michigan at 47¢, a price that implies close to 2.1x payout if the spread hits.
  • Market activity is running 95x above normal, suggesting sharper money is showing up before tipoff.

$19,611 on Michigan Wolverines | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable new wallet presses Arizona

A very new wallet with early profits and repeated large bets just put $38k on Arizona in a major college basketball spread market at 48-52¢, suggesting real conviction rather than routine flow.

  • This wallet is under 2 days old but has already been flagged 9 times and is up $75k
  • It bought $38k of Arizona across two fills at 48¢ and 52¢, showing conviction as the price moved
  • The bettor has won 5 of 6 resolved markets so far, an 83% hit rate on nearly $192k invested

$38,262 on Arizona Wildcats | Wallet win rate: 58%

New wallet cluster buys Michigan

Four wallets piled $26.4k into Michigan at 49¢ during a massive pregame volume spike, led by a very new wallet that has already been repeatedly flagged and is up $75k.

  • Four wallets bought Michigan at 49¢ within seconds, totaling $26.4k on the same side.
  • One wallet is just 1 day old, has already been flagged 7 times, and is up $75.4k.
  • Market volume is running 588x normal, suggesting informed pregame positioning rather than random flow.

$26,386 on Michigan Wolverines

Top Holders

  1. 0xcf40...87de Outcome 60839249, $63,638 (53% win rate)
  2. 0x533c...2658 Outcome 60839249, $9,246 (65% win rate)
  3. 0x7d2f...ef1a Outcome 60839249, $6,264 (54% win rate)
  4. 0xf41a...ea2b Outcome 60839249, $998 (53% win rate)
  5. 0x6d83...d1da Outcome 60839249, $599
  6. 0x59a8...eb4e Outcome 60839249, $428
  7. 0xd9ea...b781 Outcome 60839249, $319
  8. 0x2442...0c2b Outcome 60839249, $284
  9. 0x59ce...6f07 Outcome 60839249, $180
  10. 0xf5c8...7303 Outcome 60839249, $91

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)

ResolvedArizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$89,032 tracked4 signalsSportsBasketballNCAAGamesNCAA BasketballMarch Madness

In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for April 4 at 8:49 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan Wolverines" if the Michigan Wolverines win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arizona Wildcats". The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)

45d ago

$4,774 on Michigan Wolverines at 47¢

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)

45d ago

$19,611 on Michigan Wolverines at 47¢

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)

46d ago

$38,262 on Arizona Wildcats at 49¢

Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)

46d ago

$26,386 on Michigan Wolverines at 49¢

Related Theses