Part of: New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for July 20 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,248.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Proven serial bettor backs Milwaukee

A highly experienced serial trader with 2,196 resolved bets, a 76% win rate, and substantial positive edge is backing Milwaukee at 49%.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 2,196 resolved bets and is up $693,396 lifetime.
  • The trader has historically beaten implied odds by about 25 percentage points while betting across 220 events.
  • Milwaukee is being bought at 49%, near the market price, with a liquid market and a clear single-outcome thesis.

$1,248 on Milwaukee Brewers | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable new wallet scaling into Milwaukee

A repeat new wallet with strong early profitability is adding $8,000 to an existing Brewers spread position in a relatively thin MLB market.

  • This three-day-old wallet is up $20,336 and has won 75% of its four resolved bets.
  • It added $8,000 to an existing Milwaukee position, bringing its total investment in the market to about $24,500.
  • The Brewers were bought around 48–49¢ in a relatively thin market, implying meaningful conviction on the -1.5 spread.

$8,000 on Milwaukee Brewers | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf031...c80c New York Mets, $44,329 (90% win rate)
  2. 0x84cf...2f63 Milwaukee Brewers, $44,120 (46% win rate)
  3. 0xb939...da70 Milwaukee Brewers, $23,718 (75% win rate)
  4. 0xe1a2...14b8 Milwaukee Brewers, $10,300 (71% win rate)
  5. 0xdb46...fe05 New York Mets, $9,950 (58% win rate)
  6. 0x5268...135d New York Mets, $8,568 (53% win rate)
  7. 0xa697...59d5 New York Mets, $5,855
  8. 0xdb83...1e50 New York Mets, $5,701 (68% win rate)
  9. 0x224a...a3d5 New York Mets, $5,012 (63% win rate)
  10. 0x9340...e829 Milwaukee Brewers, $4,520 (87% win rate)

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Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

ResolvedNew York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers$9,248 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Milwaukee Brewers
85¢
New York Mets
15¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for July 20 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "New York Mets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

NYM
1
42-58
Live
5
0-0, 1 out
MIL
5
62-37
NYM +183MIL -224O/U 7.5Polymarket: 85¢
Venue
American Family Field, Milwaukee
Weather
80° Thunderstorm
Price History — “Milwaukee Brewers
82¢
63¢
45¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

2d ago

$1,248 on Milwaukee Brewers at 49¢

49¢85¢36¢

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

2d ago

$8,000 on Milwaukee Brewers at 48¢

48¢85¢37¢

Related Theses